Di muka hadapan Utusan Malaysia hari ini:
Ingat lagi laporan Reuters beberapa hari lepas?
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6 replies on “[1096] Mengenai kemungkinan pembubaran Parlimen dalam masa terdekat”
[…] semalam Utusan Malaysia, meminjam frasa The Sensintrovert, cuba menyemarakkan nafsu politikus-politikus di seluruh negara, Timbalan Perdana Menteri Najib Razak melalui Utusan dan juga saluran-saluran […]
Ditto to Hafiz’s last comment. Even factoring in the Anwar factor, which I would be happy if it would help PKR win more seats, Anwar would only be eligible after April 2008. So why not call for an election on January 2008? After all, it’s at most a 1 month campaign only. Anwar still wouldn’t be eligible for it then. Calling an election this year just doesn’t make sense. Yeah, I also think that if that were the case, DAP and to a smaller extent PKR would almost certainly gain many seats.
Tough on PAS, I think the next election theme has moved somewhat away from Islam and more towards people’s bread and butter issues, which would benefit DAP and PKR more than PAS.
Yeah. I basically agree that BN won so much in the last election that it is virtually impossible to top the result in the next one.
Really right now, the question is how many seats will BN lose?
But touching back on the election date, it is quite hard to predict. There are too many contradictory signals running around.
I agree with you Merah that it is best for the incumbent to hold election later. In fact, Najib made sense when he spoke of the same thing too.
Regardless, I do think DAP and Keadilan are to gain a lot, especially in Sarawak. The last Sarawak election was rather encouraging for the opposition. I don’t know about PAS though.
I don’t think Anwar Ibrahim is a factor at all.
His party’s stock is quite low and all he can push for is an unlikely and unwieldy alliance between DAP and PAS, not quite unlike what Tengku Razaleigh tried too many years ago through Semangat 46.
That didn’t work. And this isn’t going to work. The opposition’s best chance was in 1999. They failed.
Barisan Nasional’s best chance to retake Kelantan was in 2004, They failed.
In the next round, Barisan Nasional will not perform as well as they did previously in 2004 but it is quite hard to top that 91 percent majority.
Elections are a while away yet.
maybe it is the Anwar Ibrahim factor?
But I don’t see why Pak Lah would wanna do that though. I mean, his stocks atm isn’t that great. Why risk an almost sure gain by the Opposition? If I were him, I would only call for an election right at the end of my term, and pray that things would have improve by then.