Categories
Society

[1079] Of the Sunni-Shiite divide at Michigan

It is disheartening to see the Sunni-Shiite divide is occurring at a place where diversity is so highly cherished:

Last year, a Sunni student at the University of Michigan at Ann Arbor sent a screed against Ashura to the Muslim Student Association’s e-mail message list. The document had been taken off SunniPath.com, one of many Web sites of Islamic teachings that Shiite students said regularly spread hate disguised as religious scholarship.

Azmat Khan, a 21-year-old senior and political science major, said that she, like other Shiites on campus, was sometimes asked whether she was a real Muslim.

“To some extent, the minute you identify yourself as a Shiite, it outs you,” Ms. Khan said. “You feel marginalized.”

I was never active in the association while I was an undergraduate at Michigan. I have always been disinterested in religious activities since I was a teenager and so, the active inactivity is easily comprehensible. In fact, I think I became a member through sheer accident.

The only time when I could be seen at the Muslim Students’ Association-organized event was during Ramadan, when the association organized fast-breaking event at the Wedge Room of West Quad. And from time to time, when classes or World of Warcraft started to demand the usual time slot for Friday prayer up north, or the cold and the wind was simply absolutely intolerable, I chose to do my Friday prayer together with MSA-organized congregation at Kuenzel Room, Michigan Union.

Through my limited experience with the MSA, I do not remember hearing the divide as pronounced as reported by the NYT.

Categories
Sports

[1078] Of PSV 2 – 3 AZ

All hail to AZ Alkmaar!

AMSTERDAM, Feb 3 (Reuters) – AZ Alkmaar opened up the Dutch title race as striker Danny Koevermans scored a late goal to seal a stunning 3-2 win at leaders PSV Eindhoven on Saturday.

PSV, who suffered their first home defeat since December 2004, remain top with 56 points from 23 matches but are now only six points ahead of second-placed Alkmaar.

Ajax meets Feyenoord later today and this is a great chance for Ajax to cut down the current 8-point gap between Ajax and PSV.

The problem of course is that AZ is too close to Ajax. Ajax will need to win at Amsterdam today if the team is to retain its 1-point lead over AZ.

The Eredivisie is not over yet.

Categories
Economics Liberty Politics & government

[1077] Of Malaysia-US FTA is under threat

With respect to the current negotiation on Malaysia-US FTA, chairman of the House Committee on Foreign Affairs, the Democrat Tom Lantos made the most unhelpful comment:

The recently-announced oil and gas deal between Iran and Malaysia is equally abhorrent. That is why today I am sending a letter to our trade representative, Susan Schwab, requesting that all negotiations between the United States and Malaysia on a free trade agreement be suspended until Malaysia renounces this proposed deal.

According to Bernama, “abhorrent” deal refers to this:

Abdullah was reacting to a statement made by US House of Representatives Foreign Affairs Committee chairman Tom Lantos who demanded that US President George W. Bush suspend all FTA negotiations with Malaysia, in protest over the US$16 billion (RM57.6 billion) deal signed last month between Malaysia’s SKS Group and the state-owned National Iranian Oil Company.

All this is on top the fact that negotiation is tough:

A proposed Malaysia-U.S. free trade pact may falter if negotiators fail to make firm progress in bridging differences at a fifth round of talks next week, a U.S. official warned on Wednesday.

Negotiators will meet again for a week starting Monday in Malaysia’s Sabah state on Borneo island, where they will seek a compromise over opening up of Malaysia’s services and government contracts – two key hurdles to a deal – said Deputy U.S. Trade Representative Karan Bhatia.

Labor and environmental issues are also holding up talks, he said.

Further at Forbes by Associated Press :

Malaysia has warned it will drop free trade talks with the United States if it is asked to scrap a multi-billion-dollar gas deal with Iran, a news report said Friday.

[…]

In an angry reaction, Trade Minister Rafidah Aziz told Washington to stay out of Malaysia’s affairs and warned the government will not bow to any threats, the Malay-language Utusan Malaysia reported

While I am very keen of the Malaysia-US FTA, I have to agree with Rafidah Aziz. No one shall dictate Malaysian relationship with Iran. Besides, that oil and gas cooperation is not a government-to-government dealing.

Malaysia must have the liberty to forge relationship with anybody. It is our liberty and in my priority list, liberty sits higher than an FTA.

Despite that, I urge both the Malaysian and the American negotiators to ignore Lantos and realize a closer relationship between the two countries. It is only through trade could we guarantee our prosperity. In Kant’s words, “the spirit of trade cannot coexist with war.

Further, what better way for Malaysia to get back at Lantos other than having a successful fair FTA?

Categories
Environment History & heritage Science & technology

[1076] Of AR4: Eroding uncertainty

According to the NYT, in the First Assessment Report (AR1) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change published in 1990:

The unequivocal detection of the enhanced greenhouse effect from observations is not likely for a decade or more.

In the AR2 of 1995:

The balance of evidence suggests a discernable human influence on global climate.

AR3 of 2001:

There is new and stronger evidence that most of the warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable to human activities.

AR4, 2007:

Most of the observed increase in globally averaged temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations.

Categories
Environment Science & technology

[1075] Of AR4 is out: humanity is very likely to cause the current climate change

The much awaited first part of the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change is out. The copy is not yet available at the IPCC website and so I have not read it but according to the BBC:

Climatic changes seen around the world are “very likely” to have a human cause, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has concluded.

By “very likely”, the IPCC means greater than 90% probability.

The scientific body, in a report to be released formally today, forecasts temperatures will probably rise by between 1.8-4C (3.2-7.2F) by 2100.

Uncertainty, you say?

Further:

As discussions entered their final phase, the journal Science published a study comparing the IPCC’s 2001 projections on temperature and sea level change with what has actually happened.

IPCC models start from the year 1990, so that gives 16 years of data to compare.

The models had forecast a temperature rise between about 0.15 and 0.35C over this period. The actual rise of 0.33C is very close to the top of the IPCC’s range.

Graphically:

Copyrights by the BBC. Fair use.

There are scientists that insist the AR4 underestimates future sea level rise. At the New York Times:

In a brief report in today’s issue of the journal Science, an array of leading climate researchers said recent findings “raise concern that the climate system, in particular sea level, may be responding more quickly than climate models indicate.”

[…]

Dr. Shindell, who emphasized that he was speaking as an individual, said, “The melting of Greenland has been accelerating so incredibly rapidly that the I.P.C.C. report will already be out of date in predicting sea level rise, which will probably be much worse than is predicted in the I.P.C.C. report.”

James McCarthy, a climate expert at Harvard who was a leader in the 2001 assessment, noted in an e-mail message that the panel’s report could be changed until the moment it was made public. Nevertheless, he said he worried that unless its discussion of sea level rise was altered, the panel would so underestimate the problem that it would look “foolishly cautious and maybe even irrelevant” on the issue.

Also at the NYT:

With the clock ticking down and translators juggling six official languages, and government representatives trying to ensure that findings do not clash with national interests, tussles have intensified between climate experts and political appointees from participating governments.

Scientists involved in the discussions said today that the U.S. delegation, led by political appointees, was pressing to play down language pointing to a link between intensification of hurricanes and warming caused by human activity.

[…]

Some scientists are suggesting that the very search for consensus may now be distracting from the need for action.

That particular article reminds me of Leggett’s The Carbon War.

Regardless, can we act now?

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reservedp/s — the summary for policymakers (SPM) of the Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) has been published. Let us read it together. If you are interested in comparing the SPM for AR4 with the previous one, do read the 2001 SPM at the UNEP. I also have the full SPM AR3 if you are interested.