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Conflict & disaster Economics History & heritage Politics & government

[1089] Of the Scramble for Africa II

During the era of imperialism, European powers as well as a few others scoured the face of the Earth for territories. In Central Asia in the 19th century, the scour was called The Great Game. On the continent which the Nile flows, where the wildebeests roam the Serengeti, the Game had another name: the Scramble for Africa. Two centuries later, history is repeating itself in Africa as well as in Central Asia. Though the race does not come in the form it once took or with players that once played the game, it is a race nonetheless. Africa in particular has been the center of attention by both the United States of America and the People’s Republic of China.

For China, its economic growth requires so much fuel that it is embarking on a massive global search for precious resources to quench its thirst. In quest to secure sustainable growth, realizing that Africa is rich in natural resources, China is buying influence there by promising no-interest loan worth billion of dollar to improvised but resources-rich African nations:

Before arriving, he announced soft loans worth another $3 billion and a doubling of aid to Africa over the next three years.

[…]

This, probably more than anything else, is what makes Mr Hu popular with African governments. His largesse comes with no strings attached, unlike pesky Westerners who insist on anti-corruption drives or improving human-rights records in exchange for money. China’s hand-outs come without the tang of neo-colonial interference so disliked by many Africans.

This is on top various investments made by the Chinese across the continent. It is suffice to say that to Africa at the moment, China is Santa Claus.

In a way, Africa is the perfect target for China. The competition for natural resources might not be as fierce at it is in the Middle East and Central Asia. In the Mideast, there are United States as well as other powerful corporations that in some ways monopolize the world’s supply of fuel. With Iraq in shamble and Iran rattling saber with the US, risk is high.

In Central Asia, there is the ever-jealous Russia trying to reassert its influence on the former states of the Soviet Union. And of course, the United States is everywhere, worthy of the label superpower it claims to. In these two regions, I would use the word crowded to describe the situation. Africa on the contrary has so many places remain unexplored. So far, it is a free for all and China is leading the pack.

The spotlight on Chinese interest on Africa has attracted the world to both. I trust the US is especially suspicious of the Chinese activities in Africa. Further, the US is not new in Africa. Earlier, there was rumor that the US was indirectly involved in the recent conflict in Somalia:

The officials said the C.I.A. effort, run from the agency’s station in Nairobi, Kenya, had channeled hundreds of thousands of dollars over the past year to secular warlords inside Somalia with the aim, among other things, of capturing or killing a handful of suspected members of Al Qaeda believed to be hiding there.

And then, who could forget of CNOOC’s failed bid for Unocal back in August 2005?

To be fair, the US interest in Africa is not mainly due to Chinese presence. The US fears Islamist influence and indirectly, anti-US groups. This is in line with the US alleged role in Somalia. The issue on security has led the United States to establishing a new command center in Africa:

WASHINGTON: The Pentagon will establish a new military command to oversee its operations in Africa, President George W. Bush and Defense Secretary Robert Gates announced.

Creation of the U.S. Africa Command, which had been expected, will “strengthen our security cooperation with Africa and create new opportunities to bolster the capabilities of our partners in Africa,” Bush said Tuesday.

And of course, China and the US are not the only players of the race. Other countries, including Malaysia have already created substantial presence in Africa:

American sanctions have kept many companies from Europe and the United States out of Sudan, but firms from China, Malaysia, India, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates are racing in. Direct foreign investment has shot up to $2.3 billion this year, from $128 million in 2000, all while the American government has tried to tighten the screws.

Competition will be fierce. In fact, Malaysian national oil and gas company has been kicked out of Chad. Suspiciously, that episode has proven to be profitable for the Chinese.

Nevertheless, while the last scramble brought most of Africa to its knees, I have a feeling that this race will be different. With all the investment coming in and increasing trade, something good is bound to happen. I am optimistic that Africa is looking forward to a better future. I am optimistic that the second scramble is the precursor to the prosperity globalization promises. There will be obstacles of course but this scramble is too precious to squander that I do not think the obstacles would stop Africa from gaining respect from the rest of the world.

Categories
History & heritage Personal

[1088] Of family connection to the death railway

I woke this morning to a documentary entitled the Bridge on the River Kwai on the Discovery Channel. I have seen it before but there nothing on TV on Sunday morning and so, I was sort of stuck with it; too lazy to do anything else. The most exciting news of the day so far might be Obama’s decision to officially run for the Presidency of the United States of America. That however had already been anticipated by too many people that it was not a surprise. My Sunday surprise was the revelation that my great-grandfather, my mother’s granddad might have been a forced laborer for the construction of the infamous death railway connecting Thailand and Myanmar, then Burma.

My mom told me that great-granddad was tapping running early in the morning when a couple of Japanese soldiers picked him up. I am unsure how she knows that but I assume it is one of those stories that are passed down orally. I presume that it happened in Malacca since I have strong family ties to the former Straits Settlements. Since then, he was never heard from again. Family presumed him to have died in Thailand or Burma.

His wife was rather young when that occurred. Back then when the general education level of the population was low especially among Malays, marriage occurred at a very young age. I am unsure when exactly my great-grandparents got married but my mom said she was about 20 by the time the Japanese occupied Malaya. With a kidnapped husband and fear of being disturbed by the Japanese soldiers, she had to place a pillow under her clothes to give her the appearance of being pregnant. It seems that the pregnancy trick works even in times of war.

I looked up for the railway on Wikipedia and discovered that if he was indeed a forced laborer constructing the railway, he would be among 200,000 Asian laborers that contributed to the line. If he had died building the line, he would be one of 100,000 Asians that died during the construction of the death railway. And unlike the Allied prisoners of war, I am unaware of any memorial dedicated to the anonymous Asians, which might include my great-grandfather.

Reading a map of the line on Wikipedia

Public domain. Wikipedia. User W.wolny

…I wonder where did he work at.

Categories
Environment Science & technology

[1087] Of Malaysian frankenfish

In the NST today:

KOTA KINABALU: A hybrid species of grouper, or “sak pan” in Chinese, has been developed, which will have great commercial value and help to bring the seafood industry closer to its target for the future.

The new species is a cross between the giant grouper (Epinephelus lanceolatus) and the tiger grouper (Epine-phelus fuscoguttatus), both of which are high-value species in great consumer demand.

The fishes:

Copyrights by NST. Fair use.

The notion that we could manipulate the blueprint of life without understanding how the environment could be affected is little bit scary for me. There are environmentalists that call these kind of things as frankenfish, with the obvious reference to Frankenstein. Despite that, I still have not formed an opinion on genetically modified food. Nevertheless, I am very skeptical of a statement in the article:

BMIT director Prof Dr Saleem Mustafa said the new species will relieve the pressure on the wild grouper due to overfishing and other illegal fishing methods.

Is the good professor telling us that the new genetically superior grouper species will not compete with the existing ones? It is all too possible that instead of relieving pressure on wild, naturally occurring grouper population, the opposite scenario would occur.

The frankenfish issue has been debated in the US for several years now. In Malaysia, I have yet to hear a debate on it. Given how Malaysia is supposedly giving a stress on biotechnology, it is odd how the debate has not quite broken through the public sphere yet.

Categories
Economics Environment

[1086] Of water shortage, ineffective threat and effective policy

I cannot help but let go a huge sigh when I read a headline entitled “Conserve or face rationing, public told” in The Star on February 8:

PETALING JAYA: Malaysians have been told to start conserving water now or brace themselves for water rationing if the expected hot and dry weather hits the country next month.

Selangor water concessionaire Syarikat Bekalan Air Selangor (Syabas) has sounded out to the state government that rationing was among the steps that would have to be taken if the situation takes a turn for the worse.

Right. Like people are going to listen; I doubt such warning could encourage people to conserve.

When I heard rationing as a possible solution, I rolled my eyes.

I have offered a better plan to survive water shortage, be it caused by El Niño or simple drought, long ago — prices should reflect water scarcity and be allowed to float according to water quantity. In short, with the anticipated water shortage, price must go up throughout the duration of the shortage. In a free market with no state intervention, price would have gone up by now, signally the possibility of shortage.

People will only conserve if something hits them in the head. A mere warning does not cut it but a price increase will do the trick.

I do not know about you but I prefer to pay more rather than not have water at all. Further, rationing is such a drag. Besides, for goodness’ sake, we are living in the 21st century and we are not in a war or something.

Categories
Economics

[1085] Of the US is no match for the NEP

Under pressure to secure a free trade deal with Malaysia, the US is bowing to Malaysian demands:

MALAYSIA and the US have agreed to take contentious issues “off the table” in their ongoing (free trade agreement) FTA negotiations, International Trade and Industry Minister Datuk Seri Rafidah Aziz said.

What are those contentious issues?

“On areas like government procurement, New Economic Policy and our policies on restructuring, it is no go and they understand that.

I have blogged earlier on how Malaysia has time as a leverage. I do think Malaysia is utilizing that leverage to the fullest. Standing on higher ground while the US negotiators are running out of time, I could imagine Malaysia dictating the terms in a room somewhere in Sabah.

Nevertheless, I wish both sides would be more transparent and forthcoming to public questions. While I have an idea what the US is looking for, I could only speculate what Malaysia is demanding from the US without a way to verify it.

Even in the report, the US list is clear:

The Karambunai discussions had included elimination of tariffs, equity conditions in education and telecommunications and distributive trade.

The Malaysian list, on the other hand:

Rafidah said Malaysia made requests to the US in terms of market opening which would benefit the private sector.

It is so vague that it could mean anything under the sun.

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

p/s — perhaps, I have underestimated the leverage Malaysia has. On Saturday, February 10 at The Star:

KOTA KINABALU: The March deadline is likely to pass without Malaysia and the United States striking a deal for a Free Trade Agreement (FTA).

US Assistant Trade Representative Barbara Weisel said it would be “very difficult” to conclude the talks within the deadline that the United States had set.

I hope we could get the FTA signed before it is too late. It is going to be tough to get an FTA after the expiry of Trade Promotion Authority because the Democrats are expressing economic nationalism stance.