Categories
Politics & government

[1966] Of and then there are the independents

The concept duality is helpful in understanding context a particular issue is set in. Without the idea of cold, how does one define the idea of hot? Without evil, how does one appreciate good? Without tyranny, how does one taste the sweet nectar of liberty? While such monochromic perception has its advantage in rationalizing the world, one must not take it too far lest one falls victim of false dichotomy.

To commit such elementary fallacy is especially easy in a highly politicized environment with heightened blind partisanship. Blind partisanship begins with prejudice taking over as the prevailing sentiment as trust and assumption of good faith vanish. With humanity’s amazing ability at selectively accepting evidence only when it is convenient to do so, our capability to confirm our prejudice even as we are unaware of our own effort at the confirmation bias should not be underestimated.

However fallacious the process is, the so-called evidence provides the foundation for paths to the mind be shut. So strong the foundation becomes that criticisms along with evidence to contrary become a squash ball to a wall. The ball bounces off and the wall stands so proudly, rightly or wrongly.

So strong they hold on to their prejudice — and emboldened by their confirmation bias — that everything now is colored in only black and white in the dullest of manner. But dullness is of no concern when one is right or rather, when one feels that one is right.

It is a kind of intellectual arrogance, except that intellectual arrogance is a property of those who are rigorous — slow perhaps for all evidences has to be considered objectively and mental model has to be set out right but rigorous nonetheless — in their thinking process. Intellectual arrogance is of no property of simpletons who resort to logical fallacies just because fallacies are easy to do. That arrogance is of no property of those who seek to merely confirm their bias.

As their colorful world turns monochromic, it is all about us versus them. The like-minded people versus the different others.

Close as I might come, fret not for I am here today not to burst into a raving recluse lunatic that I am sometimes as I sit in a corner embarking on a soliloquy amid a world which at times appears beyond saving. I am not here today to expound organic politics and to soil divine rights despite the enjoyment that I derive from doing so.

No. No.

I am here today to celebrate valiant individuals and to ridicule dronish collectives. I am here today to demonstrate as arrogantly as I find possible why my arrogance will trump monochromic arrogance. I am here today to admonish those who horrendously unjustifiably adopt arrogant monochromic worldview that there are only two groups in the world; that it is all about us versus them; that it is all about Barisan Nasional and Pakatan Rakyat.

Yes, today is not all about abstract idea while the mind wonders in the clouds. Today is about a very real issue.

While BN does exhibit some waning in terms of arrogance, only a blind cow would think BN is finally beginning to adopt a humble outlook. Ignore the slogans from the top echelon of BN leadership because the true measure of an organization’s sentiment is to be seen at the grassroot. No sincerity from the leadership in advocating change can supplant the unmoving signal from the grassroot.

The grassroot of BN, specifically UMNO, are unambiguous in its signal. As the Democrats in the United States used to say prior to November 4 2008, they want more of the same. The grassroot of UMNO still have not learned enough lessons to comprehend that globalization is here and that globalization is going to dismantle their precious affirmative action by hook or by crook. The time is up and to hide behind that crumbling wall is folly.

When Reagan said out loud in Berlin in 1987, ”Mr. Gorhachev, open up this gate. Mr. Gorhachev, tear down this wall!” the communists understood that the end was near. If somebody is to say the same thing to the grassroot of UMNO, do they understand it at all?

For them, what worked in the past will work forever.

Whatever arrogance BN manages to dust off its back, Pakatan accumulates. After a wild success, many in Pakatan feel that they are beyond criticism. Even if those criticisms are justified, they implicitly assume that voters really have no choice but to stay which Pakatan because Pakatan is the lesser of the two evils.

Oh, the arrogance is so suffocating that I just wish a general election to come quick for me to prove that Sophie’s choice is but an eroded disk brake of no use any longer. Pakatan does not get a get-out-of-jail-free card any more. The time for free ride is over. No more handicaps. It is time for free and fair competition that is the essence of a proper democracy.

For far too many, in BN and Pakatan as well as their sympathizers, this environment of heightened blind partisanship has encouraged them to adopt a monochromic worldview; a worldview of us versus them. So strong they hold on to their view and so paranoid at that that any opposition towards their position is automatically categorized as ”˜them’, ”˜the other’. It is all about us and them. The other is Pakatan if they are BN; the other is BN if they are Pakatan.

I say this from personal experience. Every time I criticize Pakatan, I am called a BN lackey and everything I criticize BN, I am called a Pakatan apologist, or something to the same effect.

I cannot accept this outrageous accusation for I am independent of Anwaristas and Umnoputras.

No. I will not take that for since when this country of over 26 million Malaysians is cleanly divided between BN and Pakatan?

There are those that do not belong to either party but care nonetheless about the country. To them, to fight for the country does not necessarily mean automatically aligning to either party. No party has a monopoly over the country and these people know it. These people are the independents.

The independents are known for swinging. They walk around for options and shop only they are satisfied with the goods, very unlike blind partisans who will continue buy the same old good from the same vendor, regardless of quality of the good.

Yes, sir. The independents shop around and the independents are no blind partisans.

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

First published in The Malaysian Insider on April 29 2009.

Categories
Economics

[1965] Of Malaysian recovery began in February?

Some concrete evidence that the economy may have recovered faster than expected:

The Coincident Index (CI) rose by 0.5% in February 2009. The increase of the index was mainly contributed by real sales in manufacturing sector (0.5%), real salaries & wages in manufacturing sector (0.2%) and real contributions in EPF (0.2%). The six-month smoothed growth rate of CI showed a slight improvement to -9.8% from -11.9% recorded in the previous month.

The Leading Index (LI) which monitor the economic performance in advance also increased in February 2009. The index grew by 1.1% to 158.2 points in the current month. These were attributed by real total trade of eight major trading partners (0.5%), number of new companies registered (0.5%), Bursa Malaysia industrial index (0.1%) and number of housing permits approved (0.1%). The six-month smoothed growth rate of LI improved -0.7% in February 2009.

The six-month smoothed growth rate of Leading Index (LI) and Coincident Index (CI) showed a slight improvement in February 2009. However, it is too early to conclude that the improvement of these index provide signal of the slow economic growth to be over in the near term. [Malaysia Economic Indicators – Leading, Coincident And Lagging Indices February 2009. Department of Statistics. April 29 2009]

If indeed the economy began its recovery in February, it would provide a damning evidence proving the worthlessness of fiscal stimuli announced earlier. Why?

By February, there was no real spending with respect to the first fiscal stimulus and money only beginning to be distributed among various ministries. That is of course with the exception of the RM5 billion given to ValueCap but we can safely discount that RM5 billion because throwing money in the equity market is like hoping to raise the sea level by throwing is a pabble.

Furthermore, the second stimulus was yet to be announced.

In other words, the economy might be recovering even without the stimulus packages so celebrated by Malaysian Keynesians. But as mentioned by the Department of Statistics, it is still too earlier to confirm the worthlessness of economic stimuli. Let us wait for March first.

In the meantime, I am taking bets that March data is going to confirm February’s trend!

Categories
Conflict & disaster Economics Science & technology

[1964] Of local pig rearers are panicking and unreasonably resorting to protectionism

Some people are panicking:

KUALA LUMPUR, April 27 (Bernama) — In light of the swine-flu outbreak in Mexico, the Federation of Livestock Farmers’ Association of Malaysia (FLFAM) has strongly urged the government to stop pork imports until the situation is resolved.

FLFAM market development manager and veterinarian Dr Kaw Eng Sun Monday advised the government to temporarily stop importing any pig breeding stocks from the United States, Canada and Mexico along with any pork products from around the world including Vietnam and China. [Pork Imports Should Stop Immediately: FLFAM. Bernama. April 27 2009]

A good move to follow?

I think he is panicking.

Or, really, I smell rats. After all, this appears like a conflict of interest. Here we have a local producer  requesting for a sweeping ban of imports of pork product. After all, the FLFAM not only wanted to stop imports from North America, it wants to stop imports from Vietnam and China too.

It is like hiding behind something to achieve a protectionist goal.

Why do I smell rats?

At the highly reputable Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC):

Can I get swine influenza from eating or preparing pork?
No. Swine influenza viruses are not spread by food. You cannot get swine influenza from eating pork or pork products. Eating properly handled and cooked pork products is safe. [Swine Influenza and You. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. April 26 2009]

Hmm…

Just say no to monopoly.

Categories
Pop culture Sci-fi

[1863] Of 2001: A Space Odyssey

Some rights reserved. By Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams

They do not make good films like this one anymore.

Categories
Society

[1962] Of we should do at least one thing Saudi Arabia is doing…

…and that is get the local mosques to tone it down.

In Saudi Arabia, they are doing just that:

Saudi Arabia is cracking down on overly loud loudspeakers used to call the faithful to prayer, as mosques increasingly drown each other out, the official SPA news agency said on Saturday. [Saudi cracks down on blaring mosque speakers. AFP. April 25 2009]

I do not know if the local mosques here in my area shout into the speakers with the intention of drowning out other mosques but one thing is for such, the call to prayer is too loud.

In my uneducated opinion, a call to prayer should be done politely in an unobtrusive manner. But how it is done in this part of Kuala Lumpur is as if the mosques are trying so hard to invite scone. Not just from the non-Muslims mind you. As a person generally uncomfortable with loud noise, be it in Zouk or by the highway, I find the calls to prayer are made with unholy loudness.

In these days of modern technology, a loud call to prayer is unnecessary.

In Michigan where I used to live, each county has the ability to broadcast emergency messages across all channel. It functions exactly like a radiowave jammer except that instead you really like to know if a tornado or a snowstorm is coming your wave. The call to prayer can be broadcasted the same way to make it suitable to local variables, given that each location has different time of prayer. Not to all channel of course because that would be almost as obtrusive as shouting into the loudspeaker.

But that require investment and some mosques are poor. What they could do is tone the call to prayer down instead of conspiring to give those living with the vicinity of those mosques a heart attack.

Shouting into the loudspeaker is really one of the reasons why a lot of people are unhappy with Muslims. And some people wonder why Muslims are not respected.