Categories
Economics

[1175] Of supply-sider versus demand-sider, round n

Approximately 40 years after the debate began, the battle between supply-siders and the Keynesians (and to some extent, monetarists) continues.

It first came to surface with Bruce Barlett’s article at the NYT:

Today, hardly any economist believes what the Keynesians believed in the 1970s and most accept the basic ideas of supply-side economics — that incentives matter, that high tax rates are bad for growth, and that inflation is fundamentally a monetary phenomenon. Consequently, there is no longer any meaningful difference between supply-side economics and mainstream economics. [How Supply-Side Economics Trickled Down. Bruce Bartlett. NYT April 6 2007]

Mark Thoma at the Economist’s View enlightens his readers on the difference between supply-side and New Keynesian schools…:

There is much more to say about all of this, I haven’t even mentioned New Classical models, but that will have to do for now. Summarizing, contrary to what is implied in Bruce Bartlett’s commentary, there are two distinct schools in economics, the RBC school and the NK school, and they have very different policy implications. Not everyone will agree with this, and that is the point I suppose, but I would argue that the mainstream view today is the NK model, though the RBC school has strong advocates and has made important contributions to our thinking (the long-run incentives Bruce Bartlett mentions are a good example). [Bruce Bartlett: How Supply-Side Economics Trickled Down. Economist’s View. April 6 2007]

…while DeLong gives a little bit summary of what is going on the next day:

Mark Thoma quotes large chunks of Bruce Bartlett’s views on supply-side economics… [A Very Good Conversation on Supply-Side Economics. Grasping Reality with Both Hands: Brad DeLong’s Semi-Daily Journal. April 7 2007]

Then, it is Paul Krugman at Economist’s View, defending Keynesianism:

The key thing is that good Keynesianism, as embodied even in undergrad textbooks of the time, was *perfectly OK*: Dornbusch and Fischer, 1978 edition, offered a description of what disinflation would look like that matches the experience of the 80s reasonably well, and the textbook does not seem all that dated even now. The idea that we needed a new doctrine to get our heads straight is just all wrong. [Supply-Side Economics: Paul Krugman Responds. Economist’s View. April 11 2007]

James Galbraith on his opposition to supply side and monetarism:

Brad DeLong’s summary of Bruce’s summary of our vulgar Keynesian policy beliefs is, here, reasonably close to the mark, except in one respect. No one in my circle doubted the capacity of monetary policy to crush the economy if pushed sufficiently far. Rather, we believed (accurately, as events would prove), that monetary policy worked against inflation *only* insofar as it brought on a brutal recession. We did not accept the monetarist/supply-side claim, which was presented at the start of the Reagan administration in official projections, that the trick could be pulled off without a recession. We were, of course, perfectly right about that.

Second, as a matter of economics, we thought that the combination of supply-side economics and monetarism was fundamentally incoherent — and we were well aware that the supply-siders and monetarists disagreed with each other more violently than they disagreed with us. As an anti-monetarist and one of the very few Democrats willing to criticize the sainted Paul Volcker, I found myself in rough alliance with the supply-siders more than once (and I have a few handwritten notes from Jack Kemp in my files somewhere). [Jamie Galbraith Speaks for the “Vulgar Keynesians”. Economist’s View. April12 2007]

Watch those comments at the Economist’s View.

Categories
Economics

[1174] Of straight from the broker: Dialog suspended!

I just received a call informing me that trading of Dialog Group Berhad in the Main Board has been suspended. I was a little bit panic upon hearing the news because I have some holding there. A search on the internet is unhelpful:

Trading in Dialog Group Bhd’s shares was voluntarily suspended early on April 12 ahead of an announcement to be made on the same day.

The share price had risen 12 sen to RM2.09 with 12.25 million shares done before it was suspended at 9.49am.

The company informed Bursa Malaysia Securities that it had requested for a suspension in the trading of its securities until 5pm on April 12. [Dialog suspended ahead of announcement. The Edge Daily. April 12 2007]

Rumor has it that it is going to be good news. As for me, I can only wait patiently.

Earlier, Dialog clinched several contracts earlier and that caused the share to jump for about 40% since late March 2007. I was one of probably many that reacted to the news and profited.

Categories
Liberty

[1173] Of court rulling must be popular?

In The Star yesterday, Minister Nazri Abdul Aziz seemed to suggest that popularity has greater importance than individual rights:

Replying to Karpal Singh’s (DAP — Bukit Gelugor) query on why a decision had yet to be reached in the Lina Joy case, Nazri said:

“The decision is difficult to make as it is very sensitive and we have to consider the consequences. Even if it is made in the right decree, the acceptance may be difficult,” he said at the Dewan Rakyat when winding up the debate on the motion of thanks on the royal address. [Commission to study religious-sensitive cases. The Star. April 11 2007]

In Malaysia, your religion is determined by the mob.

Categories
Economics

[1172] Of pressure for liberalization builds up

The International Herald Tribune, one of many, picks up a report by Associated Press:

KUALA LUMPUR, Malaysia: Foreign funds inflows are keeping Malaysia’s markets on a long rally, but the money is staying in the country because of central bank restrictions and is starting to create economic imbalances, analysts say.

The local currency, the ringgit, is not allowed to be traded offshore, which means currency transactions are limited to within Malaysia. That has created a massive pool of money. [Awash in foreign funds, Malaysia faces economic imbalances over central bank restrictions. AP via IHT. April 8 2007]

Too much many chasing too few capital is a classic, or rather, a textbook recipe for inflation, as mentioned in the same report:

The excess cash in the country is leading to inflationary pressures as there is more money than before, chasing the same amount of goods. [Awash in foreign funds, Malaysia faces economic imbalances over central bank restrictions. AP via IHT. April 8 2007]

Further in the article:

Speculation is now mounting that Bank Negara might eventually lift a curb on the offshore trading of the ringgit that was imposed in 1998 during the Asian financial crisis. [Awash in foreign funds, Malaysia faces economic imbalances over central bank restrictions. AP via IHT. April 8 2007]

It is time to dump our neomercantilist policy in favor of liberal ones.

Categories
Economics

[1171] Of remember Suria Capital?

Yesterday, it opened trading at 68 sen. Today, it closed at 92 sen.