Categories
Education

[2488] Schooled in illiteracy

Ninety-three percent. The Malaysian literacy rate in 2009 was 93%, so says the United Nations Development Program in its latest Human Development Index report. But was it really?

I began to question the UNDP finding after reading a newspaper report that 8% of the National Service trainees are illiterate. It becomes worrying after one considers the context at which the eight percent is set in.

And the context is this. National Service trainees are chosen randomly from among 18-year-olds all across Malaysia. Assuming the 8% figure itself was derived through random means, it suggests that 8% of all 18-year-old Malaysians are illiterate.

One hopes that there was some significant non-random process at play. Maybe, the 8% came from a non-random sample. Maybe, these teenagers came from areas with notorious academic records and were overly represented in the sample. Although that would still be a problem, at least it would be a consolation. At least it would suggest the problem was not a systemic issue within the national system.

But if the process were random, then it would lead to the suspicion that the national literacy rate is lower than what has been reported.

This can be rationalized by understanding that the literacy rate tends to decrease as the age profile grows older for newly industrialized and industrializing countries. That includes Malaysia.

This is true simply because of secular trend. Access to primary education years ago was not as easy and widespread as it is today. That access has generally improved over the years. By implication, these 18-year-olds in general should have a higher literacy rate compared to their older counterparts.

If that is true, then it brings into question the Malaysian literacy rate itself. If the cohort study with arguably the best access to primary education has eight percent among them illiterate, one has to wonder about the credibility of the 93% literacy rate. With each older age profile having a similar or lower literacy rate, the national literacy rate might be lower than what has been estimated. At best, the standard used to measure literacy was too loose. Never mind the numeracy rate which is likely to be much worse than whatever the actual literacy rate is.

That in turn says a lot about the education system, notwithstanding its successes. It suggests that the education system is not as successful as it should be at imparting the most basic skills to schoolchildren: read, write and count. Not belief in god, not multiculturalism, not unity, not patriotism but read, write and count.

Other lofty and not-so-lofty agendas should take the backseat to these basic requirements. Without these basics, it will be really hard to acquire more complex higher-order skills and knowledge. Or they probably would not be able to use Google Translate at all, like somebody at the Ministry of Defense, apparently, can.

The biggest issue is that these 18-year-olds were allowed to graduate from school, if they actually even attended school. If they did attend school, then they must have had been pushed through the system regardless of their capability.

The way these students were pushed through the system is deplorable.

What instead should happen is that a student’s competency should be assessed each year. If the assessment is unsatisfactory, then students with normal learning capability should repeat the year until they are competent enough to go to the next level.

Of course, there should be a limit to how many times they can repeat but with almost everybody experiencing at least 11 years of schooling, surely there are enough years for the repeat to occur until these students can read. Any system that cannot ratify the problem within 11 years is a system unworthy of us.

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved
First published in The Malaysian Insider on January 13 2012.

Categories
Economics Politics & government Society

[2487] Religious conservativism and priorities

Words for Malaysian religious conservatives, maybe especially for Hasan Ali and his sympathizers.

In November, Hazem Salah Abu Ismail, an independent Salafist cleric and presidential candidate, was asked by an interviewer how, as president, he would react to a woman wearing a bikini on the beach? ”She would be arrested,” he said.

The Al Nour Party quickly said he was not speaking for it. Agence France-Presse quoted another spokesman for Al Nour, Muhammad Nour, as also dismissing fears raised in the news media that the Salafists might ban alcohol, a staple of Egypt’s tourist hotels. ”Maybe 20,000 out of 80 million Egyptians drink alcohol,” he said. ”Forty million don’t have sanitary water. Do you think that, in Parliament, I’ll busy myself with people who don’t have water, or people who get drunk?” [Thomas Friedman. Political Islam Without Oil. New York Times. January 10 2012]

Categories
Politics & government

[2486] Glad Anwar is not guilty

I am one of many that expected Anwar Ibrahim to be found guilty. I expected so not because I believe he is guilty, but just because I distrust the Malaysian justice system. And when the judge ruled in favor of Anwar, I found myself pleasantly surprised. I am glad for the ruling for two reasons.

First, like I have mentioned, I do not believe that the former Deputy Prime Minister is guilty as charged. The whole episode appears ridiculous from the outset. The circumstances of the whole charge are suspect.

This of course opens me up to the charge of cherry picking: when the judgment works unfavorably, the system is accused as biased but when it works favorably, the system is fine. In my defense, I am not a fan of Anwar and I maintain certain distrust of him. That said, I think I can see gross injustice for what it is; this is not so much about Anwar Ibrahim per se.

It is really also about, if a person as influential as him can be treated like that, what about the ordinary man on the streets like me? Besides, we all (still) have a stake in this society. To have a gross injustice goes quietly in the night will spell trouble later if not immediately.

Second, which is probably more important and more concrete is that I really do not want to see another 1998 in terms of political strive. Furthermore, I personally have run out of enthusiasm for large protests and I definitely have issues with large and sustained protests like the ones in Bangkok not too long ago. I do not want to see a Bangkok in Kuala Lumpur.

I am a liberal but there is such a thing as too much protests. I am not contesting the rights of the protestors (as long as they are peaceful, and peaceful in the truest sense of the word and not according to the Peaceful Assembly Bill 2011). The point I am bringing up is that continuous protests introduce protest fatigue. That fatigue can easily take away popularity of a cause. It makes many angry in the most unproductive manner. And I think, politically and strategically, this is an important factor that must not be discounted.

If a large protest had erupted today, it would blow up a conflict within me: between the distaste of large, sustained protests and the need to stand up. But with the ruling, I have escaped that seemingly impossible knot.

Despite all that, this is only a High Court ruling. Possibly, there is some way to go still, if the prosecution is to appeal the judgment today.

Categories
Economics

[2485] Thinks the official inflation rate is wrong? Calculate it yourself

There are Malaysians who find it hard to accept the official inflation rate. They claim that it grossly underestimates the actual inflation on the streets.

Some of them are truly stubborn in the sense that no proof will convince them. Some derive their disagreement out of merely ignorance. Others raise nuanced argument against the official inflation rate as calculated from the consumer price index published by the Department of Statistics.

I typically dismiss the first two groups because I have learned to pick my fight over the years. For the third one, there is some concession to be made.

The truth is, the CPI itself measures the price levels of a basket of goods. The weight of each good depends on what the Department of Statistics thinks a typical Malaysian consumes. While there are ways to estimate the consumption of a typical Malaysian, it is quite easy to imagine and in fact it is the case that the hypothetical typical Malaysian differs from most of us. The difference depends on your preference for one. Your level of income for two.

Your preference is especially important. Do you smoke? Do you prefer bread to rice? Do you drink liquor? Do use your cell phone heavily? Do you drive? What kind of vehicle? Do you drive like a maniac or do you drive, like a friend of mine, like a grandmother? Are you an electronics freak purchasing every single new fancy gadget released out there? There are thousands of questions that if answered, they will reveal your consumption pattern.

The CPI has several components each representing a particular class of goods. These components are food, transportation, housing and apparels among others. There are 12 classes altogether. If you visit the website of the Department of Statistics, you can find out what is the exact weight for a particular component for the CPI.[1]

So, really, you, provided that you accept the reading for a particular component, can construct your own CPI that will be different from the official CPI.

Change the weight according to what you think reflects your consumption. If you do not smoke or do not drink, put zero as the weight for alcohol and tobacco class. If you do eat out often at restaurants, increase the weight for that class. If you do not pay for any education service, put it zero. If you are taking one, then assign them accordingly. If you spend a huge fraction of your disposable income on food like a lot of low-income people, then give it greater weight. Etc. Then multiply the relevant weight to the relevant component index. Voila! Your own personalized CPI.

From then on, you can calculate your own inflation rate. Just do not do it the way Anwar Ibrahim did it or else you will piss off Mr. Hisham. You do not want to do that.

The point is, behind the fancy economics is just elementary mathematics. There is no magic behind it. You really do not need to be an economist to construct your own CPI and calculate your personalized inflation rate. Just understand the basics, and off you go.

If you do not know your weights, then run an experiment. Record your spending and consumption for a couple of months or more and then you can find the weights.

This way you will see how inflation affects you personally and more accurately. In fact, it will likely come closer to your expectation than what the official inflation rate tells you.

What it will not do however is to justify one’s unreasonable opinion that the inflation rate should be, for instance, 10% instead of 3%. Some think the statistics have been fudged to make the government looks good. To them I say you are free to have any opinion on any matter. But not all opinions are valid.

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved
[1] — See for instance, the CPI for November 2011 at the Department of Statistics.

Categories
Sports

[2484] Michigan 23, Virginia Tech 20

Need I say more?