Categories
Politics & government

[1828] Of what the GOP needs to do

I typical share via Google Reader these days but I thought, this post from Greg Mankiw deserves extra attention basically because I agree with it. He theorizes that the youth moved away from the Republican Party because of social conservatism. I expressed the same concerned earlier.

…It was largely noneconomic issues. These particular students told me they preferred the lower tax, more limited government, freer trade views of McCain, but they were voting for Obama on the basis of foreign policy and especially social issues like abortion. The choice of a social conservative like Palin as veep really turned them off McCain.

So what does the Republican Party need to do to get the youth vote back? If the Harvard students are typical (and perhaps they are not, as Harvard students are hardly a random sample), the party needs to scale back its social conservatism. Put simply, it needs to become a party for moderate and mainstream libertarians. The actual Libertarian Party is far too extreme in its views to attract these students. And it is too much of a strange fringe group. These students are, after all, part of the establishment. But a reformed Republican Party could, I think, win them back. [The Youth Vote and the GOP. Greg Mankiw’s Blog. November 5 2008]

Will it happen?

Categories
Politics & government

[1825] Of the best America has to offer

He was a relatively unknown United States Senator candidate for Illinois when he delivered the keynote address of the 2004 Democratic National Convention in Boston. With a devastated summer coming to an end, I found myself lying forlornly on a sofa watching the DNC on television. I wanted to listen to Bill Clinton, Al Gore, John Edwards and John Kerry instead of a skinny black guy with a funny name as he called himself. The commentators on television however were discussing on how Barack Obama is a rising star in the Democratic Party, much like how the Michigan Governor Jennifer Granholm was except that he writes well. Maybe I should give him a chance and stay in front of the television, I thought to myself.

I cannot recall who introduced him to the podium but I remember me being impressed in a way I have never been. His words, especially when he spoke of how “there is not a liberal America and a conservative America — there is there United States of America”; how “there is not a black American and a white America and Latino America and Asian America — there’s the United States of America” moved me so much.

The next half hour was purely exhilarating that I as a foreigner in a little liberal fortress in the Midwest felt the urge to vote on November 4 even when I have no right to do that. I need not this speech to be partial to John Kerry but Obama’s address inspired me to participate in one way or another. It was hard to sit down while watching the crowd in Boston welcoming enthusiastically of Obama’s address. It was easy to be carried away by the spirit of the moment.

I keep track of him ever since that day in a July. The internet was buzzed with the possibility of Obama running for the Presidency sometimes in the future. The reason was simple: he outshone all speakers during the DNC.

The 2004 presidential race was easy for me. There was an illegitimate war in Iraq much to the disapproval of the majority in the world community. Fierce debates conducted within the hall of the United Nations Security Council and massive protests all over the world were evident to that.

Civil liberty meanwhile was under threat with the onerous Patriot Act passed. There were reports that telephone conversations were being bugged. Privacy was disrespected in the name of security.

As a Malaysian in the United States, I hated being profiled and pulled over by airport securities every time I took the airplane. That however was not as bad as some of fellow Malaysians had to suffer. They had to report to the some homeland security office all the way out of Ann Arbor in Detroit regularly.

Bush’s “either you are with us, or you are with the terrorists” speech made it all too angering that made it clearly, it was then anything but Bush. Well, actually, John Kerry was the only real option to George Bush. In the modern two-party system in the US, it is always between the Democrats and the Republicans.

But Kerry lost and Bush stayed in the Oval Office.

Four years later, the cycle begins anew and this time, it is between John McCain from the Republicans and Barack Obama from the Democrats, both being the US Senators. Choosing between McCain and Obama however is harder than it was between Bush and Kerry for me.

This is mostly because McCain, at least before he pandered to the base of the Republicans party for the upcoming Presidential race, has a mind of his own. He was, as others derisively called, a Republicans in name only; a RINO. He had the audacity to speak up his mind even if it is unpopular.

Who had the guts to tell off those farmers in Iowa that ethanol subsidy is wasteful, that it is far more efficient to import it from Brazil? Or facing off those automotive workers in Michigan that they need to compete fairly against their counterparts across the Pacific?

It is an unpopular but the right positions to take. Nobody who participated in the Democratic and the Republican primaries, save probably Ron Paul, has the guts to say that but John McCain.

What made McCain refreshing to me is that he is one of those blue green politicians which are so rare in American politics — he believes in free market and care for the environment. He sees the market economy and the environment as not something mutually exclusive.

In the fierce repeating debates to open the Arctic National Wildlife refuge in Alaska for drilling, he joined the Democrats in opposing it. In the early 2000s, he together with Joe Lieberman drafted a bill to do something about US carbon emissions through market-based mechanism.

McCain does however hold disagreeable political positions from my point of view. Some of them are issues on security and civil liberty, hawkish foreign policy, abortion, religion and teaching on evolution. While I was prepared to overlook these issues, they have unfortunately been amplified during the primaries. Instead of maintaining a centrist outlook, McCain’s journey to the right to join the religious conservative is disappointing. Having Sarah Palin as his running mate made it all worse.

Under Obama as the President, it is unlikely that the same social and civil liberty issues would disturb me as much. Democrats, after all, on average are conscious of civil liberty.

The best of all, having a black President would challenge the xenophobic tendency of the conservatives. At the end of the day, it is an effort at the creation of a United States less riddled with prejudice.

When McCain should have distanced himself from the policies of Bush, he made a u-turn to gain the favor of the socially conservatives within the Republican Party during the primaries, as he competed for votes with other candidates like Mitt Romney and the religiously conservative Mike Huckabee.

The Economist lamented McCain’s transformation months ago and recently, translated its disappointment by endorsing Obama. The disappointment is shared by many libertarians.

A number of libertarians are abandoning the Republicans by are migrating to the Obama camp. The Republican Party under Bush has betrayed the libertarians and there is a need for libertarians to make a statement.  There is a need to point out that libertarians as independents too can play the role of a kingmaker. The role is not unique to the socially conservatives or the evangelicals.

These libertarians are now hoping that Rubinomics would reign in spite of all the speeches that Obama gave, like the renegotiation of NAFTA or punishment for firms which outsource its operations outside of the US.

I am however unsure how wise that switch of camp is, especially so when the Democrats are controlling both the House of Representative and the Senate. With another Democrat in the Oval Office, there might be a tendency to take an overtly populist protectionist stance against trade, hurting the fuel of prosperity for people all over the world. The unnecessary expansion of the role of government seems inevitable with the Democrats controlling both the executive and legislative branches of government.

This is especially so given the current economic climate in the US where it is easy to make a scapegoat out of the idea of economic liberty. Short term but shape pain has a way in making people forget the cumulative net benefits reaped from the very idea which they scorn.

The worry should be typical of a centrist which has the ideal candidate conscious of civil and economic liberty. I want a candidate which believes in both civil and economic liberty.

In the United States the ideal candidate is hard to come by. The Republican Party represents the socially conservative but economic liberal group, sometimes with the tendency to trump civil liberty in the name of security. The inverse is true for the Democratic Party. Both sides have their strengths and both sides have their weaknesses.

In any case, both McCain and Obama are trying to blur the traditional separation line. Obama does take up some idea of economic liberty more than most Democrats and McCain does respect civil liberty more than most Republicans. Both are less divisive than say Howard Dean or Hillary Clinton or Tom DeLay or George Bush. Both are willing to reach across the aisle.

For this reason, especially when I do not have the right to vote in the election, I am one of those undecided individuals standing by the sidelines watching race intently. Though I cannot vote, I will be affected by the results of the election because after all, the US is a superpower with presence all over the world.

Whatever the outcome to the November 4 2008 Presidential Election, the winner will preserve, protect and defend the Constitution which guarantees the rights to life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness. Whatever the result will be, it will be the testament of the best America has to offer; liberal democracy.

I am unable to endorse either candidate because I like and dislike both. I however can endorse something larger and I endorse the system.

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

A version of this article was first published in The Malaysian Insider.

Categories
Politics & government

[1824] Of the keynote address of the 2004 DNC

One of those great speeches.

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My favorite part has always been this:

Now, even as we speak, there are those who are preparing to divide us: the spin masters, the negative ad peddlers, who embrace the politics of anything goes. Well, I say to them tonight, there is not a liberal America and a conservative America — there is the United States of America. There is not a black America and a white America and Latino America and Asian America — there’s the United States of America.

The pundits like to slice-and-dice our country into Red States and Blue States; Red States for Republicans, Blue States for Democrats. But I’ve got news for them, too: We worship an awesome God in the Blue States, and we don’t like federal agents poking around in our libraries in the Red States. We coach Little League in the Blue States, and, yes, we’ve got some gay friends in the Red States. There are patriots who opposed the war in Iraq and there are patriots who supported the war in Iraq.

We are one people, all of us pledging allegiance to the stars and stripes, all of us defending the United States of America. [2004 Democratic National Convention keynote address. Barack Obama. July 27 2004]

Categories
Liberty Politics & government

[1820] Of no one must monopolize free speech

The Pakatan Rakyat seems to have the exclusive domain over free press and free speech these days in terms of reputation. The perception has to be dismantled quickly if we wish not to escape a lie only to fall into another lie.

Pakatan Rakyat — especially DAP and PKR — rightly so deserves the association with free speech. The Barisan Nasional government unabashedly uses state apparatus to suppress free speech supposedly guaranteed by the Constitution, with the components of Pakatan Rakyat as the victim of suppression, particularly in the past before March 8 unraveled its chapter.

There has been some liberalization since thanks to the persistent struggle for greater freedom by many. The Barisan Nasional government still abuses state apparatus but threat posed them has receded significantly, ushering a new era of freer Malaysia. Much is to be done but clearly, we are seeing a liberal climate for us all to enjoy.

While enjoy we will, the price of freedom is eternal vigilance.

The clear and present threats to free speech — suppressive laws, litigation and coercion for instance — are always identifiable without much effort. One that is less obvious is when those with the reputation as advocates of free speech started to use it to their advantage with detrimental effect to others. With the Pakatan Rakyat component members finding themselves in power, they are susceptible to do so to slowly betray the principle which they are associated with. Power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely.

One can despise free market philosophy all they want but the safest bet one can make is that we all have our own interests and we do promote those interests to our own benefits. The fact that liberals understand this what makes liberalism so successful compared to any of its rival up to date. It is simply human nature and other systems fail simply because those systems try to impose idealism made in the heavens rather than work with reality on the ground for the advancement of humanity.

Those in Pakatan Rakyat are no different about having and promoting their self-interest.

There is nothing wrong in having self-interest and promoting it. It is self-interest that have brought humanity tremendous wealth and knowledge unmatched at any point in the past. What is wrong is when that self-interest is pursued in a way that violates others’ right. With respect to the issue at hand, it is others’ right to free speech and the maintenance of free press.

Despite their association with free press and free speech, the component members of Pakatan Rakyat lately have shown worrying tendency of barring journalists from news organizations unsympathetic to the politics of Pakatan Rakyat.

DAP sued Utusan Malaysia and a few others about a satire; the satire is distasteful, no argument about that but it is clearly only a satire, no matter how provocative it is.

In Kelantan, the PAS controlled state assembly barred a Berita Harian reported from its premised due to unkind reports. And who can forget how Zulkifli Nordin of PKR who stormed a forum demanding it to be halted; he has yet to be punished by PKR for what he done.

All this discourages free speech and free press and therefore competition of information.

In the past, supporters of Barisan Nasional were derided as believing in their own lies. At the moment, I am beginning to see supporters of Pakatan Rakyat believing in their own lies.

The best example was when Anwar Ibrahim claimed that there is a capital flight after the World Bank released a report showing FDI outflow overtook FDI inflow when in fact, the truth of the matter is that rather than capital invested in Malaysia flowing out, Malaysian firms are investing abroad.

The case of Teresa Kok claiming she was intentionally maliciously misattributed by Utusan Malaysia when in fact she did say what Utusan Malaysia reported is yet another example. Only that in this episode, free speech caused her to paddle back. Yet, some DAP supporters defended Kok only to suffer embarrassment when Kok found herself in an impossible situation to deny it. Without competition of information, Kok would not have apologize and would have gotten away with it.

As for me, I am unwilling to live in a lie after escaping from one. I am only interested in securing my liberty and not the self-interest of politicians from either Barisan Nasional or Pakatan Rakyat.

I am not entirely sure if some in Pakatan Rakyat believe in fair competition. Increasingly, it seems that they believe in fair competition only when the odds are against them. When in power, the ideal of liberty is conveniently thrown out of the window.

The antidote to this is the encouragement and maintenance of competition of sources. Any effort to limit competition should be viewed with utmost suspicion and nothing less.

Categories
Economics Politics & government

[1817] Of the best time to kill off the fuel subsidy

With global crude oil prices having more than halved since it peaked at about USD150 per barrel just months ago, this is definitely one of those rare opportunities to make a permanent structural change to our economy by effectively eliminating the fuel subsidy for once and for all.

The growth rate of subsidy size at the current prices must be relatively small compared to months ago. Back in June, Malaysians saw retail prices for gasoline jumped by approximately 40%. Since then, somewhat in tandem with falling global prices of crude oil, the Malaysian government has decided to significantly reduce the retail prices though we have yet to see the levels seen prior to the hike in June.

Why does the current environment offer the best time to execute this?

With decreasing subsidy quantum, the government could just maintain the current prices until the quantum of subsidy becomes zero. This happens when market prices equalize with the current subsidized prices. In doing so, elimination of subsidy does not require a hike in retail prices. When that happens, the government could immediately float it.

This strategy significantly reduces political opposition to the idea of subsidy removal. I suspect what was protested in the past was prices hike, not subsidy removal per se.

So, this is the political sustainability required for economic sustainability.

Unfortunately, there is little chance for this little maneuvering to see daylight. The government has already hinted for further reduction of RM0.15 by the end of this month.[1]

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

[1] — JOHOR BARU, MALAYSIA: The petrol price may fall by up to 15 sen when it is reviewed at the end of the month. [Petrol cheaper by 15 sen?. Satiman Jamin. New Straits Times. October 26 2008]