Categories
Economics Society

[1440] Of pre-arranged marriage may hurt the labor market

Even during these days, they are those that advocates arranged marriage. The idea is obsolete and belongs to the stone age for so many reasons and therefore, there are many reasons and more to frown at arranged marriage. The Marginal Revolution stumbled upon one reason why hands of parents are inferior to marriage arranged by the invincible hand, specific to India:

“Arranged” marriages, characterized by strong parental control over mate choice, are the norm in India, although there is a steady transition towards autonomous ”love” marriages, especially within the urban middle class. I construct a novel dataset by surveying 6,030 parents and adult children in Mumbai, India, to study selection into arranged marriage and its effects on spouse choice. I consider the choice between an arranged and a love marriage as the outcome of bargaining between parents and children, when agents have different preferences for spouse attributes. I find that stronger financial and kinship ties between parents and sons increase the likelihood of an arranged marriage. Furthermore, when parents are involved in mate choice, sons are significantly less likely to marry college-educated women and women engaged in the labor force, after controlling for individual and family characteristics. I show that these effects are driven, at least in part, by parental preferences and cannot be entirely attributed to correlation between arranged marriages and unobserved characteristics or preferences. These results suggest that lowering the incentive for parental control in mate choice may improve investments in women’s human capital in India. [Divya Mathur. What’s Love Got To Do With It? Parental Involvement and Spouse Choice in Urban India. November 7 2007]

Categories
Economics

[1436] Of USD250 per barrel?

What the… ? Via:

Energy consumers and speculators are scrambling to take out options contracts to insure themselves against oil prices rising above $100 a barrel — a further sign of growing expectations of a spike in the crude market.

Some have even taken out contracts to protect themselves against prices rising to $250 a barrel in the next two years… [Scramble to insure against more oil price rises. Financial Times. November 5 2007]

I wonder when the famed Simon-Ehrlich wager will be invoked!

Categories
Economics Liberty Society

[1435] Of it is poverty that matters, not wealth inequality

The issue of wealth redistribution and inequality in wealth can be overly stressed by many in Malaysia. Up goes the Gini coefficient for Malaysia and there goes the alarmists. These alarmists, wealth egalitarians do not quite understand that it is poverty that matters, not wealth inequality.

Individuals are different and different persons follow different paths in their life; that rationalizes the difference in wealth; the difference in wealth is synonymous to difference in outcomes. Egalitarians effectively demand all to achieve the same outcome; the best way to achieve such equality is to force everybody to be the same — uniformity is cherished while difference is scorned upon — or to forcefully redistribute wealth after differences manifest itself in the society. For this, egalitarianism violates liberty. Communism and socialism seek this egalitarianism and in the past, as history has noted, the results were disastrous. Yet, communists and socialists still roam this earth, seemingly ignoring lessons in history.

Despite failure of systems that hold wealth equality close to heart, egalitarianism has been identified by the masses as an idea markedly friendly to the poor while non-egalitarian free market advocates are recognized as the manipulative monsters ever-hostile against the poor. This stereotype is beginning to annoy me especially when egalitarianism is increasingly becoming more about hating the rich than about helping the poor. In 1999, economist Martin Feldstein recognized these people with such thinking as spiteful egalitarians.

Wealth inequality is not necessarily, or usually the problem in a society. There are several factors that contribute to wealth inequality; the sources of inequality must be identified to demonstrate why inequality is not an issue one should be concerned about.

At the very top, those factors can be categorized into two groups: deterministic and non-deterministic factors.

For deterministic factors, for example, it is a case of when one is born into the world. One cannot choose their parents, so to speak. And it is not too rare for one to be born without a limp, or be blind or deaf or endowed with any other unfortunate deformation that later affects one’s ability to wade through this life, which can be beautiful or cruel, at birth. It all comes down to one word: luck. Inequality caused by these factors may justify wealth redistribution under pragmatic terms. I am comfortable to suggest that this inequality is the unfavorable type for it adversely affects opportunities; liberty-conscious affirmative action to overcome inequality caused by deterministic factors is essentially action to create equality in opportunity.

Another cause of inequality is the one determined purely by wit and effort by the human spirit. Inequality arises by this group of factors is a direct consequence of success and failure; of reward and punishment. One of the greatest lessons in economics is that individual responses to incentives. In order to encourage success, reward must be granted to those that succeed while failure is punished; in many instances, lack of reward itself suffices as punishment. For one to be successful, effort is required and for effort to be there, the reward must justify the effort. As long as there are winners and losers; as long as we cherish meritocracy, there will be inequality in outcome. Meritocracy is meaningless amid egalitarianism.

If losers are granted that same reward as granted to the victors in the name of egalitarianism, or for any reason for that matter, the victors would have not the incentive to work to be successful. Equality in outcome, equality in wealth means one gets rewarded regardless of effort, even for no effort at all. If fruits of effort could be plucked without effort, why commit effort at all?

Consider education level; it has been well documented that on average, greater years of education increases income level, given everything else is the same. Consider further two persons of the same gender enjoying the same endowment granted by their parents or some entity but have different attitude or capability to mental prowess. The person (let us call him, or her, E) with the greater mental capability will be able to endure longer years of sitting on in front of desk, in front of a book or a computer, working on theses, enriching his, or her, faculty, compared to another person (person F) whom invests less in education. The end result: E will have greater income that F. In the long run, wealth inequality will exist; what was a scenario wealth equality at the beginning is modified by difference in education which leads to difference in income level and finally, wealth inequality. It is the result of meritocracy.

This pattern could be expanded internationally. Different levels or paths of investment will lead to different levels of income. This differences lead to inequality among countries. Luck does have a role but luck, or in a more respectable term, history, can be overcome with enough will. Where there is a will, there is a way.

For this reason, it is far more helpful to concentrate on fighting poverty rather than dreaming for wealth egalitarianism. To achieve an egalitarian society, it is necessary to slow down growth of all people, waiting for those at the bottom to play catch-up; it brings everybody down instead of raising all boats. More worryingly it is becoming a fad lately among self-proclaimed wealth egalitarians to express clear hostility against the successful in hope of achieving an egalitarian society; they seeks to bring the top down rather than the bottom up.

One need not be spiteful to create a better society. For a better society, poverty fighting is enough; egalitarianism is unhelpful in many cases. We should fight for equality in opportunity, not equality in outcome. If one is really concerned for the poor, one should concentrate on fighting poverty, not on achieving an egalitarian society.

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

p/s — this entry was first published at Bolehland.

Categories
Economics

[1428] Of issue with Mavtrac

The Malaysian government has set up a special purpose vehicle to provide manufacturers related to the implementation of the Ninth Malaysia Plan with reliable supply of resources, hopefully, cheaply:

THE government has set up a special purpose vehicle to directly bulk-buy building materials from manufacturers at fair prices so as to facilitate timely implementation of Ninth Malaysia Plan (9MP) projects.

This is in response to the repeated appeals by contractors that rising prices in steel bars and cement are hampering execution of government construction jobs.

To be launched this Friday by Finance Minister II Tan Sri Nor Mohamed Yakcop, Mavtrac Sdn Bhd will deal with steel bars, cement, diesel, bitumen, sand, agregrates, copper and aluminium. Mavtrac is parked under UEM Group Bhd and is wholly owned by Khazanah Nasional Bhd. [Mavtrac to help smoothen path for 9th Plan projects. Business Times. October 31 2007]

This sounds like a good idea; it is very much like the Australian model to provide discounted drugs to Australians which I have suggested for adoption by the Malaysian health system in hope of avoiding inefficient subsidies. Perhaps it is not too much to identity such entity as a benevolent monopoly. There is however one major difference between the former and the latter models — the latter is not an SPV.

One issue looms though: the goal of bulk-discount may encourage oversupply of resources in the local economy. The bias of buy, buy, buy is clearly visible. That however may not be the greatest danger: if ever, prices are to fall in the face of growing unsold inventories, who are going to purchase those inventories?

But with the Chinese economy at high speed moving forward, maybe one does not have to be overly worried. Mavtrac could always offer those resources to someone outside of the scope of the Ninth Malaysia Plan.

Or maybe, because Khazanah Nasional is behind it, one does not need to worry at all…

As far as I know, this is the second wholly-owned subsidiary of Khazanah. The first is an entity responsible to improve the local agricultural supply chain, which, I will leave to you to find out by yourselves.

Categories
Economics

[1415] Of Malaysian sovereign funds sit that far?

Interesting graph:

Fair use. Financial Times.

Not particularly about Malaysia but if you are interested:

The sovereign funds remain far smaller than official foreign currency reserves (approximately $5,600bn). But the expectation is that these funds will grow rapidly, possibly to exceed official currency reserves in a number of years. If recent growth were to continue, the total value would reach $13,000bn over the next decade. This might then be 5 per cent of total global financial wealth.

How is the money used? Here the report distinguishes funds by their transparency and by the active, or strategic, nature of their approach to investment (see chart). Norway’s fund is conventionally invested (with widely distributed ownership) and transparent. Singapore’s funds are defined as transparent, but look for large ownership positions. Qatar’s fund is defined as non-transparent and strategic, as is China’s. But Lou Jiwei, chairman of the China Investment Corporation, insists that the new fund will operate on commercial lines. [The brave new world of state capitalism. Martin Wolf. Financial Times. October 15 2007]

As for me, I find sovereign funds confusing because it blurs the line between privatization and nationalization.