Categories
ASEAN Politics & government

[748] Of a bridge, some airspace and a whole lot of sand

I’m not sure how to react to the announcement that Malaysia and Singapore have agreed in principle to build a straight bridge in order to replace the Causeway. Reason is, Malaysia relented on two points: airspace and sand supply.

In return of Singaporean cooperation for a straight bridge, Singapore wants to use Malaysian airspace to train its air force and a guaranteed sand supply to continue its reclamation projects. Without going too deep into the issue, I’d say this as highly unreasonable; I feel it’s impossible to meet. That impossible demands and the need to fuel economic growth in southern Malaysia are the reasons why I support a construction of a bridge to replace the Causeway, without Singaporean cooperation.

Concerning air space, I simply don’t trust the Singaporean government and their military even less. Hell, I don’t trust my own government. Singapore says it wants to use Malaysian airspace for training purposes. However, it isn’t too hard for Singapore or anybody for that matter to turn this little maneuver into some sort of espionage missions. I don’t know what high value targets are there in Johor but I bet Singapore would know if Malaysia is to allow Singapore to conduct “training” in Malaysian Johor airspace.

More interesting is sand supply. Singapore has been aggressive in reclaiming lands from the sea; the reclamation projects have attracted Malaysian and Indonesian attention. Both have expressed concerned about the projects but Singapore ignored it. Malaysia was especially concerned with Singaporean reclamation at Tuas in the west and at Pulau Tekong in the east; both border Malaysian state of Johor. In 2003, both countries went to the International Court of Justice to resolve the issue once and for all. The ICJ in turn sided with Singapore with reservations.

Regardless of the result, it doesn’t matter because Singapore had to stop its reclamation effort, thanks to Indonesia. Previously, Indonesia provided the raw materials Singapore needed for its reclamation project. Like Malaysia, Indonesia was suspicious of the Singaporean effort. In the end, Indonesia cut off the supply, fearing Singapore redrawing the Singaporean-Indonesian border. The projects are still on hold. Now, Singapore needs to find a new source of sand. And guess who Singapore is turning to now?

If Malaysia agrees to supply Singapore the sand, it would be an odd thing to do. Malaysia is against Singaporean reclamation project. For Malaysia to supply the sand and enable Singapore to continue a project that Malaysia is so vehemently disagree of, is, again, odd. It defies logic.

Perhaps, this is because Malaysia knows that Singapore could get the sand that its need from somewhere else. We know how Singapore managed to buy a company of strategic importance in Thailand. Given that, it wouldn’t be hard for Singapore to get some sand from Thailand. Maybe here’s is just Malaysia doing a “hey, why not make some money out of it?” act.

Unless Singapore could sweeten the pot – like allowing Malaysians that work in Singapore to withdraw money that the Singaporean government has been withholding – I definitely believe a crooked bridge is a better deal. Of course, a straight bridge is good but circumstances make it not too favorable.

With the bent bridge, Malaysia gets a little less of what it wants without giving Singapore anything. If Malaysia accedes to Singaporean demands, Malaysia would get what it wants by giving too much to Singapore.

Categories
ASEAN Politics & government

[747] Of bridge of euphemism: ignoramus

If a person plans to take side on an issue, it’s extremely wise to comprehend the situation first. Failure will bring ridicule and signals ignorance. Here, I wish to highlight a surprisingly ignorant reason why some people are opposing the crooked, scenic Malaysian half-bridge. These people are opposing the bridge because they think the bridge will end in the middle of the Tebrau Strait. In truth, the bridge will be connected to the Causeway and it’s not a multimillion culdesac.

Let me show you.

People think the bridge would be like this:

Google Maps. Fair use. http://maps.google.com/?ll=1.454803,103.768444&spn=0.01922,0.029268&t=k

People who have this picture in their mind will always say with scorn that we would need to swin to Singapore once we reached the end of the bridge.

In reality, the bridge will look like this:

Google Maps. Fair use. http://maps.google.com/?ll=1.454803,103.768444&spn=0.01922,0.029268&t=k

Image taken from Google Maps. I hope it qualifies as fair use.

As you can see, it’s a half bridge because it’s half a bridge and another half a causeway. Not one part bridge and the rest, water. There’s no need to swim and suffer being wet to get across the strait unless you really love swimming.

Don’t believe me? What? Me? A liar? What? Me, a BN lover?

No, I’m being pragmatic. There’s no need to be a rebel without a cause; a rebel that protests to everything for the mere sake of rebelling – that’s an insincere protest. It’s immature and stupid. Much like those in the price hike protest. In the Star last Friday, there was an article about the bridge. The writeup has a picture of the bridge plan and here’s the picture:

The Star. Fair use. http://thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2006/3/10/nation/13623928&sec=nation

Observe the rightmost diagram. See it?

As to why it’s crooked, well, it’s the only way to gain a required height – in this case, 25 m (25 m is also the air draught for the Second Link to the west) – given the length constraint due to Singaporean refusal to demolish their half of the Causeway. If Singapore had agreed to a bridge and demolish their part of the Causeway, the bridge wouldn’t need to be crooked in order to obtain that 25 m. Once the bridge is completed, Malaysian half of the Causeway will be demolished and the bridge will be linked up to Singaporean half.

I hope this will clear things up for all those ignoramuses out there, particularly those at Lowyat.net’s Real World Issues forum.

Heh, the ignoramuses have already zipped their mouth by the time they found out that the bridge won’t end in the middle of nowhere. If it did end in the middle of nowhere, even I would vehemently disagree to it. But it is not and I fully support the Malaysian initiative.

Next time, really, learn the issue first. This includes the price hike but that’s another story I’ll chance another time.

Categories
Earthly Strip Politics & government

[746] Of Earthly Strip: Insincere Poll

Did you read Saturday’s New Straits Times? The government just launched a “public opinion poll system”. More at NST:

The Government launched its public opinion poll system today, making Malaysia one of the few countries in the world where opinion polls are conducted by the public sector.

Prime Minister Datuk Seri Abdullah Ahmad Badawi launched the system, which uses the short messaging service (SMS) and the Internet, and said it was a professional and efficient way of obtaining public feedback.

The Public Complaints Bureau (PCB) is managing the polling system with the co-operation of telecommunications companies.

Using SMS, the public can submit their opinions on a given topic by keying in (for Biro Pengaduan Awam) and sending it to 36367.

They will receive a message which contains a question on the poll topic and multiple choice answers marked according to alphabets. They have to select the alphabet according to the answer of their choice and send it back to 36367.

A good effort but whatever it is, it needs to be sincere. Without sincerity, it will turn out like this:

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

To Singaporeans, happy voting and yeah, within this strip’s context of course.

p/s – Tried to follow Ajax-PSV match on www.tvants.com but the lag was unbearable. The match turned out to be 0-0. Many Ajacied expected a win but bah. Even those that watched the match think Ajax could have won. Still, next is Inter Milan.

Categories
Economics

[745] Of Malaysia-US FTA on the move

Latest reports impress that both Malaysia and the United States are eager to seal a free trade agreement as soon as possible. On Tuesday, both parties announced a talk on a possible FTA. On Wednesday after the talk, they announced it will be fast-tracked. While I fear the US might be applying its muscle during negotiation, it appears that Malaysia might have a huge leverage against the US. That leverage is time.

As mentioned in various articles, including Financial Times article, the White House’s expedited power will expires in July 2007:

Trade promotion authority, which allows the administration to submit trade deals to Congress for an up or down vote with no amendments, expires in the middle of next year.

At the same time, the US seems extremely eager to strike a deal with Malaysia. If the deal goes through, Malaysia would be the second country in ASEAN to sign a FTA with the US. The US is in talks with Thailand but that talk doesn’t seem to be moving at the right pace by any respectable standard, especially when Thailand is in a major political crisis. The Philippines, another candidate for a FTA, doesn’t look too well either. So, Malaysian FTA might be the only deal the US could get this year.

Apart from that, some in the US consider a possibility of FTA as a way to counter terrorism. They insist that Malaysia is a moderate and the most progressive Islamic country, blah, blah, blah – you know the drill. I don’t care what they think but all these factors give Malaysia advantages to bring into the negotiating table.

Given the circumstances, Malaysia must utilize these advantages to the fullest extent. If Malaysia doesn’t, the United States will. Already the US ambassador to Malaysia was reported as saying that he expects an easy negotiation. Easy is a loaded word and it scares me to hear that. It is as if US expected Malaysia to acquiescent easily at the table.

Regardless what the general sentiment is in the US, Malaysia must not give too much ground without gaining substantial returns. Above all, Malaysia needs to be mindful of the recent US-Colombia FTA. In that FTA, Colombian tariffs on many US agricultural goods are torn down to zero while US quotas on Colombian export are not eliminated. Instead, it was merely increased. I don’t know how the Colombians feel about it but to me, that’s unfair.

This FTA is important to Malaysia because our country is a small open economy. Trade is our lifeline. However, no trade is better than a lop-sided trade. Bottom line is, I hate to see Malaysia be in the same spot as Colombia. More crudely, I don’t want to see Malaysia gets screwed.

p/s – w00t! The Simpsons is now live!

pp/s – Sirotablog is the first blog standing against Malaysia-US FTA that I know off. The blogger sounds like a protectionist. So, leftist Democrat, I think. A anti-globalization blogger for certain. Anyway, the way he describes Malaysian labor market is outrageous. He says Malaysian labors are oppressed because there is no minimum wage. Funny think is, Malaysians don’t think so. Do they?

Categories
Economics Sports

[744] Of things to watch: US-Malaysia FTA

United States and Malaysia are planning for a free trade deal . According to Reuters:

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The United States and Malaysia will announce plans on Wednesday to negotiate a free trade agreement, industry and congressional sources familiar with the decision said.

U.S. trade officials have previously said they were very close to launching talks with Malaysia, the United States’ 10th-largest goods trading partner.

U.S. Trade Representative Rob Portman and Malaysian International Trade and Industry Minister Rafidah Aziz are expected to announce plans to begin negotiations at a joint news conference with U.S. lawmakers, one source said.

I wonder how the FTA would affect Malaysian automotive industry. And rivalry between palm and soybean oil industries would probably flare up during negotiation.

It wouldn’t be too far off if I suspect some sort of bullying by the United States’ representatives to occur. From what I read, the US trade representatives are notorious of that. Stiglitz made that even more vivid. Moreover, when US-Singapore FTA was discussed a number of years back, the United States representatives managed to convince the Singaporean government to legalize chewing gum – we all know about how much the Singaporean government hates chewing gum! Well, partly anyway – Singapore dragged its feet.

I support free trade. I even go farther and support free flow of trade and labor. Not in totality of course since sometimes, things need to be done on case by case basis but in general, I’m for free trade. However, most free trade agreements are only free in name and hardly fair at all. For instance, remember India’s offer last year? Thank goodness that has been flatly rejected.

For this very reason, it’s good to know that Rafidah Aziz will lead Malaysian team to the table. She might be unpopular but she has the experience to withstand or even counter United States’ pressure. I’ve problem imagining of whom would be more suitable for the job. Syed Hamid Albar? Maybe but Abdullah Ahmad Bawadi certainly can’t do.

p/s – oh, yea. Ajax 6 – 0 Sparta. PSV is next.