Categories
Environment Liberty Science & technology

[844] Of major evidence against global warming is down

Previously, skeptics of global warming pointed to a study that showed Antarctica is cooling down as a proof that global warming is a hoax . They asked, if the Earth is really warming up, then why Antarctica is cooling down?

That’s a legit concern and throughout my experience, that question was one of the hardest points to counter. I had never managed to rise up above that. Until today, that is.

In the New York Times today, the lead author of the study comes up and put this concern to rest:

Our study did find that 58 percent of Antarctica cooled from 1966 to 2000. But during that period, the rest of the continent was warming. And climate models created since our paper was published have suggested a link between the lack of significant warming in Antarctica and the ozone hole over that continent. These models, conspicuously missing from the warming-skeptic literature, suggest that as the ozone hole heals — thanks to worldwide bans on ozone-destroying chemicals — all of Antarctica is likely to warm with the rest of the planet. An inconvenient truth?

Global warming is real. The connection between the warming and human activities is real. The threat is real.

And yeah, just like the Brown’s Da Vinci Code, Crichton’s State of Fear is a work of fiction. If you really want to find out about global warming, you should read academic papers, not fiction.

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

p/s – erosion of free speech in apparent in Malaysia. With the Prime Minister’s “advice” to stop discussion concerning freedom of religion and a government plan to gag free speech on the internet, I’d like to take back my opinion that under Badawi administration, there’s more freedom.

That’s bull. Completely bull.

The Badawi administration is starting to look like the previous one.

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

pp/s – I was browsing an article on the Constitution of Malaysia and this. Does Zaid Ibrahim edit Wikipedia?

Categories
ASEAN Economics Photography

[843] Of why Thailand is a major regional producer of rice

The delta of Chao Phraya, from the air :

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

The sea is of course the Gulf of Thailand.

This is from another angle with the attributes of the picture tweaked to make the paddy field plots more visible:

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

I wonder how the Mekong looks like…

Categories
Economics

[842] Of the latest buzzword in economics: inequality

Talks of inflation, interest rates, current account and other typical terms are propping up too often nowadays and I swear I’m going to puke the next time I hear these words. For all I know, these issues have been beaten to death and any more commentary is redundant. So, when I started to pick up a low murmur, I was overjoyed to find out that it concerns none of the above – this time, it’s inequality .

The conversations on inequality were prompted by Piketty-Saez data on income inequality (download the data here). For me, it started with Paul Krugman’s Left Behind Economics (read it for free at Economist’s View) and ends with Greg Mankiw’s Inequality and Stochastic Human Capital. Mankiw managed to rationalize the idea of inequality in simple term rather creatively and I’m definitely attracted to his rationalization.

And heh, Prof. Mankiw has a blog. How cool is that?

By the way, just over two years ago, the Big Mac and manufacturing controversy came to surface and it was between Prof. Mankiw and Rep. Dingell.

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

p/s – PPS should ban those that spam by proxy. Somebody is circumventing PPS anti-multiping rule by having multiple blogs and then pinging those blogs.

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

pp/s – hail to the admin for deleting spam from PPS.

Categories
ASEAN Photography Politics & government Travels

[841] Of the second day in Bangkok, Thailand

Read part three.

Where were we?

Central Pier by the Chao Phraya in Bangkok, remember ?

I was particularly excited to experience Chao Phraya. One reason I kept suggesting to my friend that we should go down to the river is because I’ve been familiar with the name Chao Phraya since childhood. You see, when I was in my early teenage, I had always been fascinated by history and geography. Every time I read history or geography, a feeling of “I-want-to-be-there” overwhelmed me; even now as an adult. That has enabled me, even as an elementary student, to name places my then peers and even adults had never even heard before. So, when I had the chance to personally be at the historic and important Chao Phraya, I grabbed it, just like how I had the chance to see the mighty Mississippi River some years ago. Now that I’ve grown up, you could say that traveling is my way of realizing my childhood dream. In fact, it’s also one of the reasons why I spend excessive amount of time at Wikipedia but I’m not here at this moment to talk about Wikipedia, am I?

Anyway, at the river, we planned our next step – a boat ride to Tha Tien we waited for 15 minutes for the boat to depart from the pier. I was quietly ecstatic but it didn’t last long before I – we – realized that we got on the wrong boat. Instead of moving upstream, we were crossing the river. Curses!

Once the boat got on the other side, everybody got off except the two of us and an European (I think). The three of us exchanged glances and shrugged our shoulders. We later approached the conductor, trying to confirm what we had already known. But the conductor couldn’t converse in English, so it was useless though somehow, he (or she, I’m not quite sure of the conductor’s gender…) could rely to us that we need to pay 60 baht (approximately MYR 0.60; roughly USD 0.17) for the to and fro service, even if it was an accident.

I don’t mind that 60 baht but what made this experience regretful was the time wasted. Already we wasted 15 minutes getting on the wrong boat and now, we had to wait for another 15 minutes to get on the right side of the river. This was on top the fact that we made the mistake of starting our little adventure late in the morning. So, by the time we got to where we started, more than 30 minutes were wasted.

Now, we were up for a re-try and this time, we asked around. Accepting the fact that typical Thais on the street speak blasphemous English, we looked for white tourists to help us out. How messed up was that?

We, coming from a fellow ASEAN country, had to ask other tourists for direction! Embarrassing!

Embarrassing indeed but it was practical. Especially practical when we approached two girls. One of them smiled when I made a remark “thank god somebody speaks England”. From their accent, they were probably from the US. So, taking direction from them was easy. This particular part of the journey was made easier because they were going to Tha Tien – our destination. So we happily tagged along.

On the boat ride, we started to tweak our so-called plan and decided from Tha Tien, we would take the boat back to Central Pier once we done with Tha Tien and its surrounding and then two trains all the way to Ratchadapisek to end the day. Things were not as simple as our simplistic plan as we would find out later in the day.

The river itself is large and lively. Though we are living in the 21st century, apparently, the river plays its role as a mode of transportation. It isn’t just tourists that are utilizing the boats but also by the locals. It seems that the river itself is an expressway.

Bangkok’s skyline is observable from the middle of the river. It’s flat but that doesn’t make it any less impressive. By the river, hotel buildings are arranged in such a way that reminds me of Miami, without the turquoise sea of course.

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

As we moving farther up north, the city somehow moved back into the past. Modern buildings vanished and replaced by more traditional structures influenced by Thai culture. One of the more important structures are Wat Arun:

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

We wanted to visit it but time was not so forgiving to us. Less than a kilometer from Wat Arun upriver is Tha Tien. When the two chicks got off the boat, we followed suit.

At first glance, Tha Tien doesn’t look too special. It’s a rundown pier with wooden shacks selling perhaps overpriced souvenirs. Just out of the piers are two rows of shophouse of colonial design with cobblestone road separating the two. It doesn’t look British like those omnipresent in Peninsular Malaysian and Singapore. Considering Thai history, I’d think its French but I have no way to confirm it.

Beyond the two rows stands Wat Pho in all its glory. As we entered the complex, which its four sides are walled by the way, a huge structure that houses one of the largest reclining Buddha in Thailand. It’s ornamented with beautiful motives:

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

Everything here was touched by artisans’ hands. Even the ceiling didn’t escape the designer’s attention:

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

Time however is not kind to Wat Pho. Any keen visitor would be able to spot damages the complex is suffering. Take a look at the ceiling in the following picture:

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

Despite that, it’s comforting to know that preservation efforts are underway to protect the complex from further excessive damages. In the previous photo, you could see that some sort of protective shields have been installed the facade. Its doors are also protected by some sort of plastic glass:

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

And yeah, that’s one of the few times that I have posted my one picture here.

I’m not sure how much time I spent at Wat Pho but I’m convinced that we managed see about everything except for one huge temple in the middle which was closed to the public. And so, it was time to move on.

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

p/s – a good read by Deva Mohd Ridzam, former Malaysian ambassador to several countries, in conjuction of tomorrow’s Annual Ministerial Meeting (AMM) of Asean foreign ministers and the ASEAN Regional Forum the day after:

Of the dozen or so documents to be issued, two are seen as truly ground-breaking. They are the framework document on “Asean-US Enhanced Partnership” and the instrument of accession by France to the Treaty of Amity and Co-operation in Southeast Asia (TAC).

The moves by the US and France are expected to breathe new life, as it were, not only into their relations with Asean but also to the wider South Asian and East Asian regions. Taken together, they hold some promise of a gradual transition of Asia based on rule of force to one based on the rule of law. This is what TAC is all about.

Welcome to all fellow Aseanists!

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

pp/s – should ASEAN kick Myanmar out of the equation? Bangkok Post writes:

The Association of Southeast Asian Nations has finally decided it has had enough of its rogue family member. Starting this week at the meeting of foreign ministers in Kuala Lumpur, Asean will stop trying to defend and make excuses for Burma. It is fitting that this action to kick the Rangoon junta out of the family nest and into the undoubtedly cold world is being led by Malaysia, the chairman of the meeting. Malaysia has long been one of the dependable protectors of Burma, leading the argument that everyone must have patience with this hard-line military dictatorship, in order to encourage good behaviour. That policy is being set aside.

I’d prefer to keep Myanmar in as I feel engagement is better than isolation. Moreover, I’d like to see a strong ASEAN influence within the country and in effect, a stronger grouping. If ASEAN calls it a quit, the People’s Republic of China and perhaps even India would have a free hand to exercise excessive influence in Southeast Asia. Even currently, the two regional powers are asserting their interests in Myanmar.

Despite that, I do agree that ASEAN should move forward, regardless of Myanmar’s situation. It’s unfair to chain nine other state members to the ground just because Myanmar refuses to cooperate.

Categories
Liberty

[840] Of critique of opposition to free will II

See also [839] Of critique of opposition to free will.

Imagine slaves and a master. The master owns the slaves and the slaves have no hope of gaining freedom. The slaves are traded like common chickens at a typical wet market; many are bought into the lowest class while many others are born into it. Suffice to say, the slaves are properties of the master, just like cattle to ranchers.

The relationship between the slaves and the master is essentially a bond; a contract. A slave and the master agree to come into a bond and take their appropriate roles willingly, given rational possibilities. Any breach of bond will bring in repercussion. Perhaps death is the best incentive to discourage any side from breaking away from the contract.

Regardless, the presence of free will alone makes the relationship between the master and the slave palatable; however despicable slavery is, no matter how disproportionate the punishment is .

What’s not palatable is when a person enters a bond without him knowing it. One of such instances is being born into slavery. For a newborn, how is it possible to the newborn to enter a slave-master relationship without knowing it?

In this case, the newborn isn’t given a chance to choose. It seems that the fate of the newborn has been predetermined and is doomed to be a slave all his life. As he grows up, he is bounded by an agreement that he didn’t choose to get into in the first place. How is that fair?

He isn’t free to determine his own path. He’s a prisoner. He’s a slave. He’s a victim of an unfair arrangement; an arrangement that he had no say. How is that fair?