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Economics Society

[2259] Of more open immigration as a source of growth

Foreigners from poorer countries working in unglamorous low-skilled industries in Malaysia have it tough. Stereotyped, some Malaysians associate them with the worst.

They are blamed for various problems — from the high crime rate to stagnating wages — while their contributions to the local economy are ignored. Seeing low-skilled foreigners as a source of trouble, there are Malaysians who want to limit the number of these foreigners in the country.

In times when economic growth is an obsession, that protectionist sentiment needs to be kept in check. It needs to be kept in check because immigration can be a key to economic growth.

More generally, population growth can lead to economic growth. High population growth rate enlarges the size of an economy in absolute terms. In this respect, immigration is the easiest route to take.

That is not the main reason why immigration is a powerful tool for long-term economic growth, however. Instead, it is the potential of their children along with ours.

The larger a particular society is, the likelier it would organically host inherently exceptionally talented individuals. Creation of talents does depend on multiple factors such as quality education quality but it is impossible to deny that some people are exceptionally brilliant compared to others. In a perfectly level-playing field stripped of other effects, these individuals would distinguish themselves from the masses, regardless of environmental factors.

Economist Robert Lucas once explained this to demonstrate the link between population growth, technical progress and economic growth. He wrote: ”If I could re-do the history of the world, halving population size each year from the beginning of time on some random basis, I would not do it for fear of losing Mozart in the process.”

These highly talented individuals would contribute to society and make it richer. By richer, it is not only in terms of material wealth but also other aspects that make life worth living.

If Malaysia is to enjoy the benefits of a larger population in the long run, it has to adopt a relatively open immigration policy. This can easily be done by granting productive foreigners who have spent considerable time in the country a pathway to citizenship, or at least a shot at permanent residency.

Some may consider this as an overly liberal policy. It is not and in fact, it is a realistic policy. Consider for a moment that there are more or less two million foreigners in Malaysia. That figure is before accounting for illegal aliens. One surely cannot believe that the government can reduce the number by a significant margin, much less boot of all of them out without hurting the economy.

Many of them have lived in Malaysia for some time. Many do speak Malay. They are acclimatized to Malaysian culture. In other words, the cost of accommodation and integration for them and for Malaysian society would not be too great.

At the same time, Malaysia does not have a comprehensive welfare system, which is a typical barrier to open immigration policy. As new citizens, they will have to work their way through. They have the necessary motivation to work and to contribute to society. This reduces the short-term cost of such liberal policy.

Implementation of the liberal policy may even give a short run boost to the local economy. Foreign workers face radical changes in their future given that they have to return to their home country once their stay permit expires.

It is reasonable to speculate that that places a limit on their spending within the local economy. If one has no future in the country, one has little reason to spend too much in that country — little incentive for them to undertake large, long-term purchases or investments at individual levels.

If they are given the chance to pursue Malaysian citizenship or permanent residency status, and if such speculation is a fact, then that limit could be removed. This could boost private demand in Malaysia.

In fact, some of these foreigners have proven to be entrepreneurial sorts. Citizenship will grant them security. That encourages them to establish private enterprises, which can only enhance the vigor of the free market and reduces the need for government involvement in business, if there is ever a need for such statist involvement in the first place.

This cannot be bad for the local economy in both the short and long run.

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

First published in The Malaysian Insider on October 1 2010.

Categories
Books, essays and others Economics Photography

[2258] Of Exit, Voice and Loyalty

Categories
Politics & government

[2257] Of internal campaigns of PKR disappoint

Being away from Malaysia, I am less attuned to its politics than I used to be. It is hard for me to follow closely all political development there, being busy with life here in Australia. Nevertheless, several events stick out and one of them is the party election of Parti Keadilan Rakyat. That election is of national interest.

While the election is an exercise that enhances democratic practice in Malaysia — not just by holding an election but by having a direct election, unlike UMNO which adopts a system similar to electoral college — the campaigns embarked by individuals and groups involved in the election has been disappointing.

The kind of campaigning I am referring to is the one, which goes like this: newcomers should not run for office. Newcomers’ experience, loyalty, or both are being questioned. Many in PKR who claim to be democrats siding with Azmin Ali are making this argument. I however believe that this kind of argument is not one that a democrat should not make too often.

This is not to dismiss concerns about loyalty and motives of newcomers, especially after a spate of defections had hit PKR. It is a problem and the party, which was a mere collection of ragtags (which, it is probably still is) needs to address it.

My fear is that if this argument is the thrust of the campaign, which seems to me it is, will create an undemocratic culture in PKR that favors the incumbents. In fact, arguments regarding inexperience can be turned against PKR as a whole. For instance, why trust PKR when there is UMNO or Barisan Nasional?

Distrust of newcomers is also problematic to PKR’s national aspiration. You cannot win national election if you distrust newcomers.

I want to see a competitive election at national level. In fact, I want new people in power. I do not think the campaign style undertaken by Azmin Ali’s camp is conducive to that realization of change.

Categories
Photography Travels

[2256] Of Melbourne’s trams

I was in Melbourne for the past few days and I have pictures to prove it.

I love trams. Here is another one.

I had more opportunities this time around to shoot the city which made this trip a productive one. I wish I had more shooting time however.

Categories
Politics & government Sports

[2255] Of the Commonwealth Games disaster is good for India

A friend shared his thought about the upcoming Commonwealth Games in New Delhi, which poises to be a disaster, the other day. The Economist with its typical humor wrote:

INDIAN officials insist that the Commonwealth games, to which Delhi plays host in October, should not be compared to Beijing’s Olympic games. They are right. The 2008 Olympics were a symbol of China’s emergence as a great power. The Commonwealth ones seem to be heading for disaster. [Running into the sand. The Economist. August 12 2010]

Allegations of corruption revolving around the Games are everywhere and it is likely that these allegations are true. On top of that, New Delhi is seriously behind schedule, despite the Games being just less than two weeks away.

The friend, in addition to saying that nobody cares about the Games, states that the disaster is good for India. For the longest time, India has its own way of doing things. The way the Games is developing even before it begins, it is likely to be a very public embarrassment for the country. That embarrassment might prove to be big enough for India to buck up and encourage the country to do something about the widespread corruption, and the  Indian (government’s) way in general that appears to be chaotic.