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[412] Of three democracies and World Bank’s report

I read the Wall Street Journal today and I am increasing finding out that I prefer the Journal better to the New York Times. I actually went to the library to read.

Alright, I didn’t actually go the library to read the Journal but rather, went there to borrow Immanuel Kant’s Critique of Pure Reason. I know the book and am familiar with it but had never actually read the book. So, while I am free at the moment, I figured, “Hey, let’s read another classic!” However, that’s not the point of this entry.

Digressing, as I was returning from the library, Kerry’s sister-in-law was speaking at the Diag (a huge green open space on campus from those unfamiliar with Ann Arbor). I decided to hang around but she proved to be boring. I prefer hearing Nader to some democrat ranting about the same old thing over and over again. Regardless of that, again, that’s not the point of this entry.

As I was saying, I read the Journal at the library and a couple articles caught my eyes. To be specific, there were four articles; three concern democracy and another about the World Bank’s Doing Business 2005 report.

Most interestingly, the three articles are about democracy in Russia, Germany and Indonesia. I say it’s interesting because in my opinion, I could form three different classes for each country where the groups could be labeled as progress in democracy, stagnation and simply the wrong direction.

The first class depicts progress in democracy and this is about Indonesia. In the coming week, Indonesia is set to choose her President. I think this is the second time the Indonesians will be able to directly elect their leader. With the runoff around the corner, it seems that the incumbent will lose to the challenger and more importanly, there is no news that Megawati, the current President, is trying to influence the election machine. Furthermore, the democratic process doesn’t seem to lose steam after the bombing incident at the Australian embassy in Jakarta.

Trivia: According to the Journal, Indonesia will be holding the largest one-day-election in the world. India is the largest democracy in the world but India runs the democratic process in the time span of weeks.

Then, there is this stagnation class and Germany is in this grouping. Nothing is wrong in Germany actually. It is just that in next German election, it is projected that there will be a smaller majority in the Bundestag for the two main parties. This means it will be harder to pass a decision on many issues through the Bundestag, in particular, decision on the much needed economic reform that Germany needs. It is mentioned in the column that the German people are mad at the current government led by the Christian democrats and the social democrat for loosening up Germany’s layoff restrictions. The liberalization of the barriers increases unemployment while at the same time, helps firms in Germany to cut losses.

Perhaps stagnation is not the right word to describe the situation in Germany. Maybe “possible problem” is the proper term.

The third class is resided by Putin’s Russia. A few weeks ago, 335 human lives, more than half were children, were killed by terrorists. It was despicable act of inhumane, deserving no respect from any civilized individual. Of course, Russian armed force’s decision to storm the terrorists’ ground is a contributing factor to the horrific drama but I agree with the storming because no government should ever be held hostage by anybody or else, such ugliness in Beslan would encourage more ugliness.

While some of us were mourning, Putin shook one of Russia’s last bastions for democracy by announcing from now on, regional governors will be elected directly by Kremlin instead of via election. Now, it will be from the above instead from the bottom up. It seems that Russia is going back to its Soviet days.

And the last article is about the Doing Business 2005 report. I have nothing much to say on this but merely to repeat one of the report’s result. The report concluded that monetary aid does not help third world countries to improve themselves. Possibly, the aid might even prevent growth. This sounds like a problem with corruption. It might be the fact that the money given is not being fully channeled to developmental projects but instead, it gets into someone’s pocket. As a result, little or no beneficial endeavors being undertaken while debt of the countries increases, making the countries probably poorer.

Oh well. So many things are troubling the world but at least Michigan won, though in a rather unconvincing style in my opinion. The Wolverines won 24 – 21 against the Aztecs. After the game, Michigan probably looks like this.

Some rights reserved

I wonder how we will look like after the Buckeyes game. I caught that at the Graduate Library.Also, the world would have one less problem if Manchester United loses to Liverpool on Monday.

p/s – thought this is great.

Fair use

Sometimes, I guess people are so focused on one thing that they forgot the attributes that they share.

Categories
Economics

[400] Of the sky is the limit

Yup folks! Three more bucks to $50 per barrel!

And there is no promise for the price to not go pass the $50 mark.

Categories
Economics

[399] of GOOG

GOOG is what Google is known to the investors in New York and everywhere else. And on Reuters:

SEATTLE (Reuters) – Friday the 13th was decision day for investors weighing whether to bid for shares in Google Inc.’s initial public offering. The big question now is, how many of them were feeling lucky on an unlucky day.

Google is probably the initial public offering of the year. Google is the most successful search engine ever; not only it is big, it is profitable. Last Friday was the last day for interested investors to register for the Google’s IPO auction. The price of the offering is expected to be announced today.

What is the most peculiar characteristic of this IPO, at least for me, is the auction itself. Now, auctions perhaps are typical when the issuer of IPO presents the shares to the underwriter. Furthermore, most IPO’s that I have heard of are sold at some predetermined price, if I am not mistaken. Google, through Morgan Stanley and Credit Suisse First Boston as the lead underwriters, is doing something unconventional. The IPO will be sold to the public, not to the underwriter, using a modified Dutch auction, also known as single-priced auction.

I do not know which part of the method is modified but through my financial economics class, I do know that the winners of the bid will pay the lowest winning yield for the shares. Take note, the lowest yield means the lowest cost to the issuer (borrower of the money). Now, let’s say there are three bidders, A, B and C and there are 40 units issued. All participants make their offers known. A want 20 units and offers 5.0% yield. B wants 20 with an offer of 6.0% yield and C wants 20 with 7.0% yield. C will lose out and both A and B will win the bid. At the same time, both A and B will pay out 6.0% yield. If A were to pay its initial offer, that would make the auction as something known as multiple-price auction.

Regardless of the method of offering used, each Google share is expected to range between $108 and $135. At the same time there are 25 millions shares available, making a possible capitalization at around $3 billions. That is a cool $3 billions.

It will be traded on NASDAQ, the home of the tech bubble. And this is financial history in the making.

And Blogger is part of Google and this site is powered by Blogger. I am proud to be part of it. Hmm…

p/s – I’ve just received an interview request from The Star, Malaysia. I am not really sure the person that sent me the email was referring to ReCom.org or ReMag, but hey, this is going to be fun. And I bet the special branch would take notice too. LOL! I’m flattering myself. Damn me.

Categories
Economics Science & technology Sports

[398] Of update in Enschede

Ajax has just beaten Twente three to two and is currently placed third in the Eredivisie standing. PSV earlier won five against two against Roosendaal and Feyenoord won six to one against De Graafschap.

Ajax managed to take a 2 – 0 lead by halftime. The first goal was scored by Tom de Mul, a rising star in Ajax that was promoted from the youth team earlier this season. Ten minutes later, van der Vaart made it 2 – 0.

In the second half, on the 46th minute, Ibrahimovic scored Ajax’s third goal. But Twente almost managed to catch up with Ajax. Two of their players, Karim Touzani and Blaise N’Kufo scored a goal each. Thank goodness their third goal never came.

Though I am a bit disappointed by Ajax’s low number of goals compared to the other big three teams, I must say I am relieve to see Ajax won.

On other update, Ajax has taken two Argentinian youths on loan with an option to buy them after the loan period ends. I heard that the two Argentinians are exciting.

From the inside, some youth team members have been promoted to the first team. One of course is Tom de Mul of whom scored for Ajax. The other is Daniel de Ridder, said to be the next big thing in Ajax. But we will see. There is still a lot of time for de Ridder.

On the goalie position, the younger Stekelenburg has finally replaced Lobont. Stekelenburg has also been selected into the Dutch national team as the first keeper. The national team is currently under Marco van Basten, an Ajax and a world football legend.

Cronyism eh?

Across the channel in London, Chelsea has just beaten the Red Devils, courtesy of Gudjohnsen’s goal. Sweeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeet!

Soccernet has this to say:

Mourinho seemed relaxed enough to lounge on the Chelsea bench, with his feet up and a wide grin on his face, an expression matched by his boss, Roman Abramovich, in the directors’ box.

I trust, many of us are still grinning. I know I am.

p/s – Holy crap! Somebody is aunctioning B$1 trillion on EBay, currently priced at $46! 46 bucks! Damn! This is getting out of hand.

Categories
Economics Sports

[397] Of the Olympics again!

The Olympics has officially begun!

Fair use. Associated Press pool photo by Ben Curtis of the Aug. 13 Opening Ceremonies fireworks display.

Thank goodness they managed to complete the Olympics Stadium.And, just to show how unpopular Bush’s foreign policy is, according to Wikipedia:

As a reflection of the unpopularity of the American-led War on Iraq, many audience members protested the entrance of the American delegation into the stadium by making a thumbs-down gesture.

Oh well.

p/s – Somebody just auctioned 5000 Blogshares chips on EBay. It is priced at $22.56 now. Damn, that is free money!

If the admins of Blogshares do not do anything, soon, real money will be used for trades on Blogshares. But damn! $22.56 for something that is not even real!