Categories
Economics Environment

[559] Of King Kong vs. Godzilla

When I was taking labor economic last year, my professor presented a case in class concerning monopsony meeting monopoly and dubbed it, in theory, it’s like King Kong versus Godzilla. I bursted into laughter immediately.

In retropect, I’m not sure whether I laughed because of his figurative presentation, or the truth behind it.

In the real world, the war between a real King Kong and Godzilla has begun; Microsoft versus Google. Of course, none of them are monopsonies but both of them are monopolies. They do hold considerable market power to themselves.

SEATTLE – In a simmering legal tussle, Google Inc. is asking a judge to reject Microsoft’s bid to keep a prized research engineer from taking a job at the Internet search company, saying the software titan filed its lawsuit to frighten other workers from defecting.

Anyway, some sort of climate change agreement between the US and five other Pacific rim nations have been signed prior to ASEAN + 3 + Australia + New Zealand meeting in Laos.

WASHINGTON – The United States and five Asian and Pacific nations, including China and India, agreed Wednesday on a partnership to use cleaner energy technologies in hopes of curtailing climate-changing pollution.

The goal is noble but the problem is, this agreement is non-binding. Because it is non-binding, I suspect there will be freerider problem – which hardly solve Kyoto’s flaw to start with.

With Kyoto, all non-Annex 1 members, including China and India, are not binded to emission reduction and hence, freeriding others’ effort to combat climate change.

Categories
Economics

[551] Of Ringgit unpegged!

I’m going to exchange all the dollar I have left to ringgit right now. From Bank Negara:

Bank Negara Malaysia announces today that the exchange rate of the ringgit with immediate effect will be allowed to operate in a managed float, with its value being determined by economic fundamentals. Bank Negara Malaysia will monitor the exchange rate against a currency basket to ensure that the exchange rate remains close to its fair value. Promoting stability of the exchange rate continues to be a primary objective of policy.

And wow, we didn’t wait for China.

p/s – I’ve just found out that China has ditched their fixed regime in favor of flexible exchange rate. This can only one thing – the rumor that the Malaysian government did send a team to China for consultation purposes is true. It must be true since it is almost impossible for both Malaysia and China to simultaneously switch to floating exchange rate.

About less than a year ago, I read somewhere that the Ringgit should be approximately between MYR 3.20 and 3.50 to a dollar. Let’s see if people in the economic circle have made the right prediction.

I’m sure that whiny and bitchy US manufacturers are happy with today’s development. China right now, however, I think, has a strong incentive to reduce its holding of US T-Bills.

Categories
Economics Environment Politics & government

[550] Of US – India nuclear cooperation

I saw Manmohan Singh’s address to the US Congress yesterday. In his speech, he asserted how important it is for the US and India to work together in a globalized world. In actuality, he seeks the Congress’ consent for the US cooperation with India on India’s nuclear work for civilian purposes. I for one, hope the Congress won’t block any step taken towards that direction.

Chernobyl was a tragedy. So was Three Mile Island incident. However, with growing human population, it is obvious that we will consume more and more power. Unfortunately, that power has to come from somewhere, be it from fossil fuel, green energy or nuclear.

The Indian Prime Minister mentioned yesterday that in any scenario, coal plays a central role in India energy industry. India is a huge country and their reliance on coal would increase carbon emission tremendously all the while the Annex 1 parties to Kyoto are struggling to reduce emission. With or without China and the United States, India could single-handedly wreck the fight against climate change. Nuclear provides a clear alternative to coal while clean and safe renewable sources, at its current state, are simply not enough to quench India and indeed the world’s thirst for energy,

The US has refused to ratify Kyoto and has stubbornly argued that any reduction in emission would damage its economy. Moreover, Bush and his supporters have said that only technological progress is the answer to climate change. Frankly, I’ve yet to see or hear Bush do something about that but now is the time to back that claim up. Now is time to prove that Bush really belief that instead of simply trying to dodge a commitment that the US made under the Clinton Administration. Congress now needs to approve such cooperation to give Bush’s words a spine.

Some fear that this might encourage nuclear proliferation. This groups need to be reminded that India already has nuclear capability. In fact, in my opinion, the US cooperation with India would make nuclear energy safer.

Perhaps, if others still feel strongly against such cooperation, perhaps US offer assistance on a condition that India will sign the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, which India is not a signatory. With India in the NPT, the world might even be able to persuade Pakistan to sign the treaty. Of course, there will have to be a change in the first pillar of the NPT.

In the end, wouldn’t that make the world a bit safer?

On the other side, a lot of people are saying that this new American relationship with India spurs out of concern of China’s growing power. Well, I prefer to some something to counter China’s regional influence – Japan simply can’t counter China alone.

p/s – Michigan is currently second in the ASC and they are closing in on the leader, Minnesota, fast. MIT and Missouri-Rolla is far behind.

Categories
Economics Photography

[545] Of Proton vs. Malaysian Trade Ministry

The recent spat between Proton and Malaysian trade minister Rafidah Aziz has been interesting. Proton accuses the Malaysian government of not protecting Proton while awarding permits to South Korean manufacturers more than it was supposed to. I read that as possible corruption. The trade minister on the other hand accuses Proton of not being competitive, which I personally think so. So, both Proton and the trade minister’s mud balls hit bulleye.

Whatever the outcome of this mud ball fights, I doubt I will be able to make much out of it since if Proton gets something out of this, that is only one thing – more protectionism which is ultimately bad for free flow of trade.

If Rafidah Aziz gets away, that means as if nothing happens as, if Proton’s allegation is true, more than allowed importation permits will be given away. Possible corruption stays unchecked.

I’m not against protectionism per se. New and small industries perhaps may receive some protection from global competition but Proton has been around approximately two decades now. It’s time for Proton to face external pressure. Furthermore, Malaysian government’s protection on Proton comes at a price; Malaysian consumers is being forced to pay more than they should for car, be it foreign or local.

Of course, the two scenarios are not the only possible result. But whatever it is, let’s hope there will be no increase in protectionism policy and a curb on corruption.

About the mud ball fight, the jury is still deliberating but Proton seems to be winning. Damn, Mahathir, which is Proton’s advisor, still has some power left in his punches!

p/s – paid Malacca a visit the other day and caught a couple wild flowers along the way.

That’s one of them.

Categories
Economics

[543] Of unfair tax regime

Last week in the Wall Street Journal, I read a page paid by Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. of the microprocessor company’s intention of suing Intel. AMD alleges that Intel has been divulging in unfair competition. Just yesterday, I read an article in Malaysia’s The Star about the oncoming litigation. Just for the record, I’m a huge fan of AMD and I think neophytes are usually misinformed whenever they choose Intel over AMD whereas AMD’s chips offer on par performance along with cheaper price.

Though AMD accuses Intel of forcing computers assemblers such as Dell to exclusively use Intel chip, I can’t help but wonder, do we punish those that are successful?

While AMD is pursuing its course, the European Union is investigation the matter too. And, as the event unfolds, Microsoft has already been under heavy scrutiny for a long time now.

I do understand how efficiency depends so much on free market where monopoly or near-monopoly is absence. Yet, do we need to punish those that monopolize the market just because they are good are running their business?

The idea of punishing the successful doesn’t end there. The popular progressive tax regime is another instance where the successful is penalized. In this regime, those in higher income bracket pay more taxes compare to others that sit in the lower level. Why do those that earn more have to pay extra tax?

When I was in the Malay College, the administration applied such idea to tuition fee. Though I’m not sure how it was done, I have a strong suspicion that in total, those that come from well-to-do family will be charged higher fee while those that lower income is charged with cheaper tuition. At the same time, aid from the government is similar in amount regardless of families’ income. In this analysis, other forms of scholarship are ignored in order to make all things the same.

Now, I have no qualm if all is charged the same amount with aids differ according to socio-economic standing. Though I have reservation for welfare-state, given the system is hard to change in the short term, I don’t mind if those that come from lower income families receive higher aid and then pay less fraction (fraction is the total subtracted with government aid) of their total tuition fee, or no fee at all for that matter in comparison to those that come from higher income bracket families with, take note, all paying the same total, not fraction, tuition fee, with or without aid. If this is the came, I really don’t mind the less fortunate pay less. What I do mind however is why the well-to-dos need to pay more total, not fraction, fee.

Against that, with or without aid, those with higher affluent were forced to pay higher sum. Needless to say, with higher fee, the fraction that they pay is higher. As a side note, a flat tax-rate regime is far simpler to deal with; it saves time and money; takes less form to fill in and more importantly, saves more trees. w00t! (again, it’s pronounced as “woohoo”, never “woot”. It’s woohoo in l33t form. Now, l33t user might be retarded and lame but if you want to be retarded and lame, use it properly. Goddamn please)

Perhaps in the case of Intel and Microsoft, it’s comprehendible to see why the cases deserve the attention they get from anti-trust law due to the fact that both firms apply excessive pressure against others. After all, it seems, it doesn’t take an economic major these days to see why competition-based market is better than a market with one player. But, what about the progressive tax regime or anything that resembles it?

I’ve heard some argue that those that are richer need more security for their holding. Since the government is the de facto protector of these capitals, the government has the right to charge higher tax to perform that task of protecting more private property.

Really, if that is the case, shouldn’t the rich get more votes because they are richer? I mean, the rich should have more say since the government is representing all including the rich and there is more capital on the hand of the rich.

I don’t know about you but that is merely legalizing bribery and the vote argument should be flawed. And if that vote argument flawed, so too should the protection argument. And I’ve just committed a logical fallacy. Do you see where it is?

In any case, it is my opinion that the government uses the progressive tax regime as a source of securing the welfare of less fortunate citizens. In short, it’s just a reason to keep huge welfare programs afloat. Think Robin Hood.

Though the intention is noble, it’s unfair. I don’t agree with wasteful welfare programs but if the government wants it done, there are other ways to fund such program. One is employing fewer civil servants and shoo away any redundant post. Second, cut unnecessary subsidy, like oil subsidy for instance. Third, curb corruption. Hell, in Indonesia, aid worth a few millions dollar for the tsunami victims is gone due to corruption.

So, never trust progressive tax-rate regime and much less the government with your money. In order to do that, we need to strive for a smaller government. We need to persuade the government to charge (cough, steal) us less tax in order to make it smaller and ultimately it out of our bedroom.

p/s – Malaysia Airlines sucks. When the counter says for check-in without luggage, only those that want to check-in without luggage should be there and Malaysia Airlines should allow only those without luggage to be there checking-in. Instead, what happened was that there were loci of retards with huge bags lining up there. Worse, this occurred when there were, I approximate, 200 persons lining up, waiting time worth an hour or two I presume. I am only glad that I didn’t have to experience my presumption that day.

I wanted to say something to these uneducated mobs but I realized, complaining to a mob is anything but smart. So I approached a representative from the airlines and guess where they directed me to?

First-class counter and everything was done in less than 10 minutes. I’m free good about coming out and complained since it saved me a lot of time. Yet, here is to Malaysia Airlines- do it properly. Tell your representatives to tell your customers to check-in at respective counters, not every counter.

Well, I’d suppose, at least they lined up. Thank goodness for that.