Categories
Economics Sports

[810] Of doctor says sugar is unhealthy

I had planned to blog on only soccer throughout the course of the World Cup. However, the real world is still real and soccer is just a temporary ecstasy. In the real world today and throughout this week, a couple things came up. I wanted to express what I feel on a number of things but I had to economize my time. So, I had to choice which topic I want to blog on. After some thinking, I decided to touch about sugar.

This is especially so when Utusan Malaysia and Chua Soi Lek decide to be two naughty boys today. Utusan, with huge fonts and cheekiness, declares on its front page today that Malaysians are consuming twice the level of sugar that we needed . Read the article at Utusan Malaysia, if you could read Malay:

Terlebih ambil gula — Rakyat kita guna dua kali ganda daripada kadar diperlukan – Soi Lek

PUTRAJAYA 13 Jun – Menteri Kesihatan Datuk Dr. Chua Soi Lek hari ini berkata, pengambilan gula di kalangan rakyat Malaysia didapati dua kali ganda lebih tinggi daripada kadar yang diperlukan.

Beliau berkata, berdasarkan kajian, secara purata rakyat Malaysia mengambil 125 miligram gula sehari berbanding keperluan yang menyihatkan sebanyak 50 miligram.

“Dalam soal gula di Malaysia, seseorang individu hanya memerlukan hanya 50 miligram sehari tetapi malangnya apabila kita buat kajian didapati pada puratanya mereka menggunakan 125 miligram gula sehari,” katanya.

Too much sugar is bad, yes and I agree with it. Unfortunately, I doubt the sincerity of our good doctor – and Utusan – because of the timing. It’s hard to imagine that the timing of such statement is an accident since it coincides with our little sugar crisis.

Sugar shortage is not new. Back in April, reports of scattered shortage in the northern states were already out. Now, it gets worse.

Our health minister and Utusan seem to implicitly suggest that if we cut on our sugar consumption, the problem would go away. Sure it would but what causes this shortage is not our level of sugar consumption. If it were, then why didn’t we have any severe shortage last year?

It couldn’t be that the consumption level was drastically lower than a year ago, could it? Did the level of sugar consumption jumped wildly from what it was a year ago?

Tak. Ngak. Poo. Nee. Non. Nein. Nope. Neither is it caused by smugglers nor hoarders.

I want to reiterate that this shortage is caused by our little price control mechanism. Like I’ve said before, if there’s a price differential of a good between two markets – in my earlier post, I used Malaysia and the world as the two markets – the market with lower priced good would suffer a drain of the good to the other market that priced the good higher. It’s a simple arbitrage and nobody should need an economics degree to figure that out. Given, the fix is simple – throw away the rigid price control regime and let sugar prices float.

Just let free market reigns supreme – at least in the sugar market – and I promise you, our sweet little crisis will go away. Free market will take care of the current distributive inefficiency that we are experiencing. Trust me on that. Don’t trust Chua Soi Lek. He’s manipulating the fact. And don’t trust Utusan too.

By the way, Torres’ goal during the Spain-Ukraine match is the most beautiful goal so far in the World Cup tournament.

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

p/s – the results between Malay College and Raffles are out. Three games were played at Kuala Kangsar this year – basketball (under 15 and under 18) and rugby under 15. I’m not sure about rugby but for basketball, the Malay College won both matches. From the description I’ve received, it was a tough fight.

Hey David, you were saying something about Raffles? =p

Categories
Economics Politics & government

[795] Of gold standard in Kelantan

One week ago, I blogged on why conservative Muslims would prefer gold standard to fiat currency. Today, I found out that Kelantan, a state ruled by PAS, an Islamic party, plans to introduce gold dinar and silver dirham in three months time . Gold dinar and silver dirham are gold and silver standards respectively. More at Bernama:

Kelantan Plans To Use Gold Dinar As Currency

KOTA BAHARU, May 21 (Bernama) — The Kelantan government will introduce the gold dinar and silver dirham as currencies in three months time and even plans to pay state public servants with the currency.

State Public Administration, Economic Planning, Finance and Community Development Committee Chairman Datuk Husam Musa said the dinar and dirham currencies would first be implemented in the Islamic system of pawnbroking, the Ar-Rahnu.

Husam said when implemented, the public could buy the dinar and then exchange it for cash at the Ar-Rahnu pawnshops.

Talk about economic crystal ball…

However, I’m not interested in the predictive power of economics in this entry. I’m questioning the legality of such move instead.

Under item 7(a) within the Ninth Schedule of Constitution of Malaysia, finance, more specifically, “currency, legal tender and coinage” fall under the Federal List. It doesn’t fall under the State List or Concurrent List but instead – I stress – in the Federal List. This means only the central government has the exclusive right on matters pertaining to issuance of currency. Therefore, I suspect Kelantan’s move is illegitimate.

The existence of two standards is detrimental to intrastate trade and the need to exchange currencies – ringgit to dinar and vice versa – acts as a trade barrier. Furthermore, the introduction of gold dinar just in Kelantan – instead of countrywide – will undermine the authority of Malaysian central bank, Bank Negara. The introduction will indirectly hurt the country’s economy as there will be no congruent monetary policies.

This move is unneeded especially when Southeast Asia is contemplating on monetary union. The region as ASEAN plans to increase regional trade instead of reducing it. Introduction of a new standard will take the dream of an ASEAN-wide monetary union a step backward. In short, the introduction is counter-productive towards the ultimate ideal of ASEAN.

Finally, who will manage the gold standard? The central bank of Kelantan? What a ridiculous notion! Revolting!

Unless Kelantan plans to secede from the Federation, this move must be stopped. Bank Negera, which is responsible to Malaysian monetary policies must come forward and knock some sense into the state government of Kelantan.

I’m vehemently against Kelantan’s move and the existence of two separate standards within the Federation. There can be either one currency or the other. Not both.

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

p/s – I’m right. Introduction of a different standard within the Federation is illegal. From The Star:

Kelantan plans new currencies

By IAN MCINTYRE

KOTA BARU: The Kelantan government plans to introduce the gold dinar and silver dirham as currencies in three months, saying that it also hopes to pay state public servants with the currency.

However, Prime Minister and Finance Minister Datuk Seri Abdullah Ahmad Badawi shot the idea down.

State governments were not allowed to issue their own currency, he told reporters covering the World Economic Forum in Sharm El-Sheikh in Egypt when asked to comment on the statement by Kelantan Public Administration, Economic Planning, Finance and Community Development committee chairman Datuk Husam Musa

This makes me wonder, do PAS politicians ever read the Constitution?

Categories
Economics Humor

[789] Of Islamic economics and gold standard

In mainstream economics, it’s very hard to not discuss interest rate. The idea of interest rate in mainstream economics is so prevalent that if a person successfully pushed the idea of interest rate out of all equations, chances are, modern economic system would undergo a radical transformation, for better or for worse. In Islam, there’s an explicit prohibition of usury . I don’t consider modern-day interest rates as usury but rather, accept usury as unreasonable interest rates, such as those enforced by loan shacks; not rates imposed by proper financial institutions that are based on economic fundamentals. However, if a person really wants to err on the conservative side, it’s really hard for me to reconcile modern economics that I’m acquainted of with Islamic economics. But it occurred to me recently that there might be a way to reduce the presence of interest rates in an economic system. There are probably more than one way but I’ll touch only one.

First, let’s get down to basic.

There are a number of causes why interest rate exists. One of them is inflationary expectation. At the same time, inflation is caused by several reasons. One of them is the increase of money supply. Some people may not agree to that but let’s just assume that the monetarists, the Austrians and the supply-side people have the upper hand over Keynesians.

When inflation is going up, it’s typical to hear a corresponding central bank to increase interest rate; nominal interest rate. A real interest rate is roughly equivalent to nominal interest rate subtracted by inflation. Because inflation necessarily erodes real interest rate, increasing the nominal interest rate prevents the real interest rate from falling too much or at all. For this reason – and other unstated reasons – interest and inflation rate are closely related.

Keeping this in mind and the fact that Islam forbids usury – assuming usury includes those rates that I don’t consider as usury – adopting the gold standard is a logical solution to reduce the differences between Islamic and mainstream economic system .

According to Wikipedia, the “gold standard is a monetary system in which the standard economic unit of account is a fixed weight of gold.” In a gold standard, every note issued by a government is backed by gold. This limits or outright eliminates a government’s ability to increase money supply, unlike fiat currency. Again, since one of the causes of inflation is money supply increase, adopting the gold standard eliminates inflation and with it, a cause for interest rate. Of course, this is assuming that the price of gold itself is free from inflation, which it is not. But the price of gold is relatively stable for us to not think too much of it. Gold is a reliable store of value.

Because gold standard eliminates a need – I stress, not all – to have interest rate, I’d expect those that want to build a more Islamic society to support a reversion to the pre-Bretton Woods period; back to the gold standard. Or any standard that takes away the government’s power to increase money supply.

The standard however is not free of fault. It has its own set of problems but I’m not planning to go into that. One question is, do I want to revert back to the gold standard?

Well, I’m pretty happy with the current system. No point fixing something that ain’t broken, yet.

Finally, do you notice something? This practically means there’s a policy overlap between conservative Muslims and objectivists! The causes for support differ but the end result is the same nonetheless. That’s just weird.

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

p/s – holy shit. Did you guys see how those shares at the local stock market fell today? Words on the streets have it that it has something to do with Iris. The Security Commissions along with Bursa Malaysia’s effort to curb excessive speculations over Iris might have spilled over to many other counters. I haven’t seen so many reds in recent local history!

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

pp/s – I am the very model of a modern wikipedian.

Categories
Economics Photography Sports

[785] Of economics 101: substitute goods

Should I get a Pringles?

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

Or locally produced Agromas instead?

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

One thing for sure, both are unhealthy.

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

p/s – Laffer curve. Though the idea is nothing new, there’s an interesting coincidence (via):

Economist Arthur Laffer made a very interesting supposition: If tax rates are high enough, then cutting taxes might actually generate more revenue for the government, or at least pay for themselves. (In one of life’s great coincidences, he first sketched a graph of this idea on Dick Cheney’s cocktail napkin.)

I know it was sketched on a napkin. But I didn’t know it was Cheney’s napkin.

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

pp/s – Blind sacked. From Ajax-USA:

A surprise? Not exactly. Ajax officially confirmed today what everybody already knew: the club have decided to replace head-coach Danny Blind, as well as his assistants Ruud Krol and Gerard van der Lem. The reasons: Ajax never competed for the Dutch championship this season and the first team players have not made the desired progress, neither as individuals nor as a collective. Chairman John Jaakke and technical director Martin van Geel commented on the club’s decision at a press conference at the Amsterdam ArenA. They expect that the new Ajax-1 boss can be presented in less than three weeks’ time.

Henk ten Cate, Rijkaard’s man at Barcelona, might be the next person for the Ajax job. Also, from Ajax-USA

“Certain Dutch journalists have actually called my mother to ask her about my future! I find that scandalous. I understand that journalists are supposed to their job, but come on: don’t they have certain values? Leave my mother out of it!”
– Henk ten Cate, who is generally expected to coach Ajax-1 next season, on RTV Noord-Holland.

Categories
Economics Politics & government Sports

[780] Of blue is the color of the day

What a wonderful day it is day. It could never go wrong one way or the other because earlier today, there was a match between two English clubs that I feel no love for. One, Chelsea and the other, Manchester United. Win, lose or draw, I would get to celebrate and celebrate I did. Manchester United got creamed at Stamford Bridge. 3 – 0. Three against nil. Tiga kosong kawan!

Throughout the game, especially in the second half, Manchester United was dominated by Chelsea. It was satisfying. It is satisfying. Of course, the downside is the fact that that win makes Chelsea as the season’s champion, yet again. But I think I can suffer Jose Mourinho’s antic as long as Manchester United gets a beating. Hey, you can’t always get too much of a good thing. So, this tradeoff is just fine by me.

The only pity I felt for anybody between the two teams is for Edwin van der Sar. Too bad he’s an Ajacied, being on the wrong side. And for Rooney too. I don’t like his temper but that injury is much too cruel for a punishment, especially when it’s so close to the upcoming World Cup in June in Germany. I hope his injury is not too serious. I hope that injury won’t prevent him from making to the World Cup.

My goal of the match is definitely Joe Cole’s. The goal is a case of brilliant assessment of the situation. It could be just plain luck but it’s brilliant nonetheless. As for the third goal, it describes Manchester United – a sinking boat. Hooray!

You know what would be better? Liverpool pushing Manchester United into third place.

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

p/s – have you ever wondered the correlation between Bush’s approval rating and gas price? Well, wonder no more. The Big Picture explains.