Categories
Economics Liberty

[973] Mengenai pengkhianat bangsa

Kadang-kala, terguris rasanya hati ini mendengar rakan-rakan memanggil diri ini sebagai pengkhianat bangsa. Walaupun terasa, aku tidak berminat untuk menukar pendirianku hanya kerana perasaanku tercabar. Aku percaya, perasaanku tidak setanding fikiranku. Selagi dasar-dasar penindasan masih berdiri tegak dengan angkuhnya, selagi tidak diyakinkan kepada ku dasar-dasar penindasan itulah yang terbaik untuk tanahair ini, untuk alam ini, selagi itu akan aku mempertahankan pemikiranku. Walaupun jatuh tertumbuk serta keris terbenam di perut, darah Melayu mengalir di tangan Melayu.

Bagi ku, bukan susah untuk membezakan sesuatu yang jelas buruk daripada yang baik. Hanya kematangan fikiran dan kejujuran sahaja diperlukan untuk mengenali perbezaan di antara dua itu. Jika seseorang itu melakukan sesuatu kesalahan dengan sengaja mahupun tidak, terutamanya jika seseorang itu adalah seorang pemimpin, tegurlah. Janganlah kita menyorokkan kesalahannya, merasakan seolah-olah, kerana beliau pemimpin bangsa, beliau perlu dipertahankan. Beliau juga hanya manusia biasa. Bila pula beliau dilantik menjadi rasul, bebas dari kesilapan?

Janganlah engkau berkata kepada aku yang kita Melayu, kita perlu mempertahankan pemimpin-peminpin Melayu, walau apapun yang berlaku. Janganlah engkau berkata, kita Melayu, kita perlu taat kepada pemimpin demi bangsa. Tidakkah engkau sedar yang ketaatan yang buta membawa padah?

Lihatlah Tuah. Lihatlah bagaimana dia sanggup melupakan segala yang tidak adil, demi raja. Sanggupkan engkau membutakan matamu kepada semua yang tidak adil demi ketaatan kepada pemimpin bangsa?

Pada ku, Jebat jauh lebih hebat. Pada ku, raja adil disembah, raja zalim disanggah.

Apabila aku melantik memimpin, aku bukannya menjual maruahku kepadanya. Aku melantik memimpin untuk melakukan perkara yang aku mahu dilaksanakan. Bodohlah aku jika aku menjadi seekor lembu yang ditarik hidungnya oleh tuannya untuk dikorbankan, taat sehingga terlambat untuk menukar fikiran.

Mungkin engkau akan berkata, “tetapi tidakkah engkau sedar ada di antara ahli-ahli bangsa-bangsa yang lain yang mahu melemahkan Melayu, yang benci Melayu. Yang engkau memecah-belahkan Melayu dengan tidak menyokong pemimpin bangsa? Yang bersatu kita teguh, bercerai kita roboh.”

Aku mengakui yang itu benar, ada yang membenci Melayu. Tetapi jawapan kepada kebencian bukannya kebencian. Sifat benci-membenci hanya akan memburukkan lagi keadaan yang sedia keruh. Dan aku bersejutu, kita perlu bersatu untuk menjadi kuat. Tetapi biarlah kita bersatu di pihak yang benar. Tiada gunanya bersatu tetapi salah. Jika pemimpin itu gagal, ketepikanlah. Apabila pemimpin itu gagal, itulah masanya kita memerlukan orang yang baru. Jika benar engkau sayang kepada bangsa ini lebih daripada ku, kenapakah engkau patuh kepada ketuamu yang telah gagal membangunkan bangsamu? Yang menggagalkan bangsamu? Bangsamu dan bangsaku akan gagal jika pemimpin yang gagal itu dibenarkan untuk terus melakukan kegagalan tanpa segan silu. Aku lebih rela berpecah dari terus jatuh tersungkur kerana kita enggan berubah.

Bercakap tentang bersatu, ketaatan kepada bangsa tidak bermaksud ketaatan kepada pemimpin. Pemimpin yang mahu engkau percaya kepada sebaliknya hanya berminat tentang dirinya, bukan bangsa. Mengapa pula engkau percaya pemimpin-pemimpin itu membantu Melayu apabila Melayu di kampung masih miskin tapi dirinya sendiri semakin hari semakin kaya?

Percayakah engkau kepada pemimpin-pemimpinmu itu yang hari demi hari, berteriak tentang hak-hak Melayu, tapi hanya rakan-rakan mereka yang telah kaya dibantu? Adakah engkau percaya yang dengan membantu Melayu-melayu yang kaya ini, Melayu-melayu yang miskin akan terbantu secara serentak?

Jika ya jawapanmu, maka tergamanlah aku. Tidakkah engkau sedar yang apa yang miskin terima hanya serbuk-serbuk roti, bukan roti itu sendiri? Aku fikir, jika benarlah kita hendak membantu yang miskin, tidak kiralah warna kulit, kita berikan yang miskin roti itu, bukannya serbuk-serbuk halus. Serbuk itu hanyalah sisa. Fahamkah engkau apakah itu sisa?

Mungkin aku terlampau kuat mendokong kebebasan pasaran dan tidak yakin akan tindakan-tindakan sosialis kurang percaya kepada dasar-dasar kebebasan. Tetapi, sekurang-kurangnya, apabila para sosialis ini berkata tentang pembasmian kemiskinan, mereka memberikan bantuan secara terus kepada yang miskin, bukan melalui yang kaya. Sekurang-kurangnya, para sosialis itu menghadiahkan makanan yang segar kepada yang miskin, bukannya sisa. Sekurang-kurangnya, para sosialis ini jujur dan tahu kebodohan di sebalik alasan-alasan serbuk-serbuk halus itu. Sekurang-kurangnya, para sosialis ini tahu apa itu penipuan apabila mereka melihatnya. Ini membolehkan aku menghormati para sosialis itu lebih dari mu. Kejujuran itu sendiri membolehkan aku menghormati para sosialis itu lebih dari mu.

“Ya. Kita mesti taat kepada pemimpin-pemimpin bangsa kita. Endahkanlah serangan-serangan itu. Melayu-melayu ini bagaikan kacang lupakan kulit. Mereka hanya berbohong tentang dakwaan penipuan itu. Tidak mungkin pemimpin-pemimpin kita menipu kita. Mustahil! Engkau pengkhianat! Pengkhianat bangsa! Kita perlu menyokong pemimpin-pemimpin kita walau apa pun!”

Jika ketaatan yang engkau minta adalah buta, maka banggalah aku digelar pengkhianat. Aku lebih rela engkau mempersoalkan ketaatanku daripada suara hati aku mempersoalkan kejujuranku. Kebenaran merentasi semua, termasuk Tuah.

Categories
Economics Liberty

[969] Of in honor of Milton Friedman

What most people really object to when they object to a free market is that it is so hard for them to shape it to their own will. The market gives people what the people want instead of what other people think they ought to want. At the bottom of many criticisms of the market economy is really lack of belief in freedom itself.

— Milton Friedman (July 31, 1912 – November 16, 2006)

A brilliant mind is lost forever.

Categories
Economics

[966] Of a major slowdown in 2007?

If you think 2006 is bad because of higher energy prices, you probably haven’t heard about what’s in store for you in 2007. Consumption in the US is slowing down and there’s an expectation that the slowdown will affect world economy:

KUALA LUMPUR, Nov 13 (Bernama) — The slowdown of consumer spending in the United States is expected to dampen overall global economic growth in 2008, says UBS Investment Bank’s deputy global economic head Paul Donovan.

“We are looking at a slower growth of the global economy, led by a slowdown in US consumer consumption,” he told reporters here Monday.

Donovan said the overall global economy is expected to be at 3.7 percent in 2008 compared with 4.5 percent last year.

The yesterday edition of The Edge has a few interesting articles in it. One of its reports highlights the slowdown of demand for electronics in the US. I’m unable to find the same article online but it’s titled “Who’s afraid of an electronics slowdown?” if you’re interested in searching for the article.

Worry not though because The Star has a report on similar issue:

KUALA LUMPUR: Anecdotally, equity analysts are seeing corporate book-to-build rates falling for electronic firms in the US, according to UBS Investment Bank managing director, deputy head of global economics Paul Donovan.

“Economies such as Taiwan, Thailand, Singapore and Malaysia, with substantial semiconductor sectors, can expect a slowdown in demand,” he told a press briefing yesterday.

You might notice that both Bernama and The Star reports quoted the same person from UBS. The Edge report however does not do the same. The Edge report was written by individuals from DBS. So, it’s not really an one-man opinion.

According to a graph attached to The Edge article, electronics makes up about 40% of Malaysian total export. Needless to say, the slowdown in demand will affect Malaysia.

Already, people are talking about a bearish 2007. Just check out this Mongan Stanley article:

Surely, there must be more to a US$46 trillion global economy than the American consumer and the Chinese producer. Not only is that the current verdict of financial markets, but it is also consistent with the sentiment I have been picking up from a broad cross-section of our clients — business executives, investors and senior government officials — as I travel the world this fall. While they concede the possibility that these two engines of global growth may, indeed, slow in 2007, there is a general belief that other economies are now perfectly capable of filling the void. Hope springs eternal that such a global decoupling would allow an increasingly vibrant global economy to keep growing while barely skipping a beat. My advice: Don’t count on it.

So, before 2007 comes, let’s live 2006 to its fullest – spend till you drop! If you haven’t dropped already, that is. LOL!

(It’s better start saving now though. But like all good things in economics, it depends on your personal preference — in this case, inter-temporal preference; i.e. interest rate — which is really hard to measure in spite of progress made in economics.)

p/s – I admit. The talk of a recession started way early in the year back in January when an inverted yield curve made an appearance.

Categories
Economics Environment

[964] Of human development index 2006, in graphics

You’ve heard how the Malaysian government pat itself at the back after the Human Development Report 2006 puts the country on par with the developed world. A Wikipedian has produced a map to put it into global perspective:

GNU FDL. Wikipedia, by Danutz.

Green is considered developed, yellow as developing while red signifies underdeveloping countries.

Within Southeast Asia, Singapore, Brunei and Malaysia are considered as the only developed countries in Southeast Asia. Though I don’t mind Singapore, the inclusion of Brunei and Malaysia does make me frown a bit. Nevertheless, sweet.

Before you jump around patting yourself at the back, the report mentions the state of water pollution in Malaysia (*.pdf):

Water quantity is not the only benchmark indicator for scarcity. Quality also has a bearing on the volume available for use—and in many of the most stressed water basins quality has been compromised by pollution. All of India’s 14 major river systems are badly polluted. In Delhi, to take one example, 200 million litres of raw sewage and 20 million litres of waste are dumped into the Yamuna River every day. In Malaysia and Thailand water pollution is so severe that rivers often contain 30—100 times the pathogen load permitted by health standards.

Categories
Economics Politics & government

[959] Of Friedman predicts 2008

Thomas Friedman, a columnist at the NYT and of course, the author of The World is Flat, writes in his column:

Now that we’ve settled that, and now that we’ve had an election that clarified which country is most important in shaping U.S. politics in 2006 — Iraq — I’ve come to visit the country that’s most likely to shape U.S. politics in 2008: China.

The civil war in the Republican Party, which you are about to see, will be all about Iraq — whom to blame and how to withdraw before the issue wipes out more Republican candidates in 2008. But the coming civil war among the Democrats will be all about China.

I’ve mentioned earlier that I expect a more protectionist US.

A long time ago, in a land far, far away, I’ve blogged that I’d like to see John McCain as the next President in 2008. With a Democrats-dominated Congress, I think I’d like to see a Republican President. A protectionist US isn’t good for the world. I feel McCain would provide the counterweight to Democrats lefties tendency without seeing too much of religious conservatives running around in packs and ruining the lawn.

In fact:

WASHINGTON – Sen. John McCain (news, bio, voting record), considered the front-runner for the 2008 Republican presidential nomination, intends to launch an exploratory committee next week, GOP officials said Friday. The officials spoke on the condition of anonymity to avoid pre-empting a public statement from the four-term Arizona senator.

Run McCain, run!

If Obama’s running too — for the Presidency or the VP, regardless — it would be an interesting debate.

As for me, it would be simple. The person that comes closest to libertarian principle would be my pick. Well, maybe it wouldn’t be too simple a decision to make.