Categories
Economics Humor

[1250] Of price control rendered useless

Hahaha…

PETALING JAYA: Following the painful raids against traders who overprice their food and drinks, most restaurants are sticking to their regular prices.

The difference, however, is that some restaurants may be dishing out smaller-sized roti canai as well as diluted Nescafe or Milo drinks.

Contrary to earlier complaints by restaurant operators that they would lose out following the government move to increase the price of flour, a random survey by The Star found that they would actually make a hefty profit if the price of roti canai goes up by 10sen a piece. [Roti canai getting smaller. Goh, Michelle. Nur Akmal. The Star. June 3 2007]

Instead of liberalizing the market, I suspect the state would engage in more stifling policy by regulating the size of roti canai.

We as responsible citizens on the other hand desperately need to upgrade the mentality of our politicians. I am in the opinion that all ministers need at least at a basic lesson in economics.

Categories
Economics History & heritage

[1242] Of 1800 years before the construction of the USD7 billion Kedah-Kelantan pipeline

Three firms from Malaysia, Indonesia and Saudi Arabia are cooperating to build a pipeline worth USD7 billion to transport crude oil across the Malay Peninsula, bypassing the busy Straits of Malacca. The chairman of Trans-Peninsula Petroleum expects the pipeline to divert 20% of oil tankers traffic off the Straits of Malacca.

“The savings in using our pipeline to the oil producers, to oil traders, is enough to even pay for one month of storage,” said chairman of Trans-Peninsula Petroleum Sdn Bhd (Transpen), Mohd Kamil Sulaiman.

[…]

Mohd Kamil said the pipeline would help ease congestion in the Straits of Malacca where out of 60,000 vessels that transit the straits, 30 percent were oil tankers.

He said the pipeline would divert about 20 percent of the oil tankers. [Transpen’s US$7 Bln-pipeline To Cut Down Time Taken To Transport Oil. Bernama. May 29 2007]

While the project is huge, this is not the first time northern Malay Peninsula becomes a land bridge facilitating international trade. Not in such gigantic scale of course but still, in my humble opinion, far more significant.

The third century of the common era was a period of economic boom in Southeast Asia. The boom was caused by a civil war in China; the Romance of the Three Kingdoms. The conflict threatened the reliability of the Silk Road, the artery of international trade and soon, the route between China and Rome became unsafe for passage.

Like water, trade seeks the path of least resistance. The unique circumstances encouraged the development of sea routes that ran through Southeast Asia. This is the impetus of the formation of many kingdoms in this region during this period. Three of the kingdoms were Dungsun, Pan Pan and Langkasuka. Another one, although not located on the Malay Peninsula but closely related to the history of the three Southeast Asia kingdoms was Funan.

Funan was a civilization that existed at the mouth of river Mekong. More importantly, it was the gate to southern China which was controlled by the kingdom of Wu. It is probably safe to claim that almost all goods originated or going to southern China went through Funan. Relating to the topic at hand, the three kingdoms at one time or another came under the influence of Funan.

To or fro Funan, depending on the flow of trade, goods would pass through Dungsun, Pan Pan, Langkasuka or by circumventing the Malay Peninsula. There may be other routes but there four are the major ones.

Dungsun was a kingdom located near the Isthmus of Kra. Its strategic location allowed it to connect the Bay of Bengal and the Bay of Siam. Apart from that, not much is known about it and this makes it so mysterious.

South of Dungsun was Pan Pan, centered around the cities of Ligor or Chaiya. It is worth remembering that Chaiya was the regional capital of the Malay empire of Srivijaya later in history. While that is clear, I find Pan Pan a little bit confusing though. Some called Pan Pan as Tambralinga while others recognized Tambralinga as Ligor. Nevertheless, Pan Pan accommodated international trade.

Even farther south was the kingdom of Langkasuka that roughly covered the old Malay kingdoms of Pattani as well as Old Kedah and its surrounding. Over land, goods traveled between Singora and Kedah or Pattani and Kedah. The Pattani-Kedah route in particular ran along Muda River in Kedah and Pattani River on the other side of the Peninsula. Anyway, as mentioned earlier, Funan exerted influence over Langkasuka but among three kingdoms, Langkasuka was the farthest from Funan and hence, Funanese controlled over it was probably the weakest.

About four centuries later, both Pan Pan and Langkasuka were absorbed by Srivijaya. Despite the presence of a new master, these two kingdoms still played the role they played back in the second century. Langkasuka specifically reached its peak between the 7th and the 10th century, coinciding with the Srivijayan golden age. The era made Kedah a very busy port. The archaeologically rich Bujang Valley provides some proofs of the prosperity Kedah once enjoyed.

So, when you ever passby that crude oil pipeline will connect Kedah and Kelantan around 2014, just remember that the idea of trade cutting through the Malay Peninsula went as far back as about 1800 years ago. Beyond Malacca, if I might add.

Categories
Economics

[1236] Of bad pay hike to ruin the civil service

When a disgustingly overweight person gluttonously swallow a plate for four, it is only right for a doctor to kindly advise the person to slow down and go on a healthier diet. It would be almost sinful if the doctor kept his wisdom to himself. In the same light, it is almost sinful not to criticize the Malaysian civil service for going on an unhealthy diet of salary increase.

I believe that I speak within the same wavelength with many others when I say I would like to see a respectable civil service. I would like to see a civil service that creates envy among those not on its payroll. I would like to see a civil service that attracts not contempt but admiration among the public.

The Malaysian civil service could do just that by raising wages and benefits within the institution as well as downsizing. One of two components of the policy has been exercised this week. Unfortunately, it has not been done properly. When the Prime Minister announced the pay hike, it is not a step forward but instead, it is a step backward.

High wages, given proper condition, is a tool to attract the best talents into any organization. Furthermore, wages reflect productivity and productivity between individuals might differ. Hence, there should be variance among wages when productivity levels differ, vertically as well as horizontally. In order words, wages increase across individual of different productivity level should not be uniform, horizontally or vertically, unless productivity itself is uniform.

The hike recently declared by the Prime Minister is clearly being executed without respect to productivity. It seems that everybody is being rewarded equally horizontally and thus, it does not discriminate high and low productivity individuals. Therefore, its carrot and stick model lacks the stick while everybody gets a carrot. In short, the policy is blunt.

While that method might reward deserving individuals with wondrous work effort, it also rewards under-performers. If an organization rewards low performance — as much as high productivity workers, no less — the better workers would sooner or later realize that one would get the same rewards with less effort. Thus, given time, the average productivity would fall toward the lowest point.

This undiscriminating reward system requires resources and the over-generous act of rewarding everybody requires tremendous resources. Scarcity unfortunately is real. Nobody needs an economics degree to know this, save, maybe, the communists. Eventually, there will be insufficient resources to sustain the over-generous model. This unsustainability will bring the civil service back to square one: low paid public sector. Moreover, it prevent the introduction of competitive salary levels across similar productivity levels needed to attract the best talents available.

If the civil service aspires to be the employer of last resort, then the over-generous model might work marvelously well in its favor. As an employer of last resort, the civil service would prefer quantity to quality.

For a respectable civil service, the model must reward performers and punish slackers. What the civil service needs is a proper carrot and stick model. Reward the able, sack the slackers and through this, stop being an employer of last resort. I say it again: increase the salaries within the civil service to competitive market rate and downsize. The civil service must get on a healthier diet.

In the final analysis, the recent hike is a perfect example of blunt and poorly designed policy. Blunt policy, including blanket fuel subsidy among others, creates unintended and possibly adverse consequences. This blunt policy of unselective wages increase in the civil service without attention to productivity in particular will create adverse unintended consequences that will further lower the standard of the Malaysian civil service.

Blunt policy might help the Prime Minister winning an election but it is not good enough to build a better society.

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

p/s — I might have unwittingly given the impression that productivity is the only determinant of wages. I apologize but I do not imply as such. Just to clear the air, there are other determinants of wages. One of them is scarcity of skills.

Categories
Economics Environment Humor Politics & government

[1228] Of too witty to be serious

Panda Kong:

Copyrights by The Economist. Fair use.

Roar!

IF THE guest list determined a meeting’s value, the Strategic Economic Dialogue between China and America on May 22nd would be a roaring success. Almost half the Chinese cabinet is trooping to Washington, DC, for the second of the twice-yearly discussions, conceived by Hank Paulson, America’s treasury secretary, between the world’s largest economy and its fastest-growing one. The process was designed, in large part, as an antidote to the latest case of Asiaphobia among America’s politicians. [America’s fear of China. The Economist. May 17 2007]

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

p/s — also at The Economist:

Conservationists—and polar bears—should heed the lessons of economics.

[]

One reason for this taxonomic inflation is that the idea of a species becoming extinct is easy to grasp, and thus easy to make laws about. Subspecies just do not carry as much political clout. The other is that upgrading subspecies into species simultaneously increases the number of rare species (by fragmenting populations) and augments the biodiversity of a piece of habitat and thus its claim for protection.

In the short term, this strategy helps conservationists by intensifying the perceived threat of extinction. In the long term, as every economist knows, inflation brings devaluation. Rarity is not merely determined by the number of individuals in a species, it is also about how unusual that species is. If there are only two species of elephant, African and Indian, losing one matters a lot. Subdivide the African population, as some taxonomists propose, and perceptions of scarcity may shift. [Hail Linnaeus. The Economist. May 17 2007]

Categories
Economics Politics & government

[1226] Of Wolfowitz to quit

It is only right:

Paul Wolfowitz is to quit as president of the World Bank following a bitter promotion row involving his girlfriend.

After lengthy talks with the bank’s board, Mr Wolfowitz said he would quit the global lending body on 30 June.

He had faced widespread calls for his resignation after being accused of a conflict of interest over a pay rise given to ex-bank employee Shaha Riza.

The White House, which had backed Mr Wolfowitz, said President George W Bush reluctantly accepted his decision. [World Bank head Wolfowitz to quit. BBC May 18 2007]

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

p/s — some of us are still waiting for Anwar Ibrahim to explain his involvement.