Categories
Economics

[1623] Of price and supply control in Malaysia

This is just for my own future use.

Following is the list of 11 price-controlled items:

  1. Petrol
  2. Diesel
  3. Liquefied petroleum gas
  4. Steel
  5. Cement
  6. Flour
  7. Sugar
  8. Condensed milk
  9. Bread
  10. Chicken
  11. Cooking oil

Following is the list of 20 supply-controlled items,
whereby supplies are regulated ensure demand is always met.

  1. Sugar
  2. Milk (including condensed, powdered milk, cream)
  3. Salt
  4. Cement and clinker
  5. Flour
  6. Cooking oil
  7. Fertiliser
  8. Insecticide
  9. Formic acid
  10. Mild steel, round bar
  11. Kerosene
  12. Preserved fish
  13. Rice (in Sabah state only)
  14. Paddy (in Sabah state only)
  15. Petrol
  16. Diesel
  17. Liquefied petroluem gas
  18. Bread
  19. Fuel
  20. Chicken [Malaysia’s web of price and supply controls. Reuters. March 26 2008]

What are the implications of the two control methods?

Price control will cause shortage or surplus when the list prices are disconnected from that of the market. Shortage occurs when prices are set lower than it should be. Producers will not have the incentive to produce as much as the level they would produce under free market condition while consumers will demand more than what they would normally do under free market. When surplus occurs, prices are simply set too high compared to what free market would call for; producers will produce too much and consumers will demand too little.

Supply control affects only the supply curve but it distorts the market nonetheless. This method forces prices that consumers pay to go higher than what equilibrium would otherwise produce when supply is set less than free market quantity. This is a producer-friendly policy as producers are able to charge consumers with higher prices than what free market would dictate. In other words, shortage is beneficial to producers. The exact opposite of the mechanics is true when supply is set higher than equilibrium.

The two methods reach roughly the same conclusion but the dimensions which each method tackles must be noted.

The two methods have one common characteristic: it amplifies an effect called price stickiness. There is always a lag in updating the set prices or quantity to match the prevailing situation of the market. In that way, these controls are inferior to free market mechanism as information disperses among participants of the market faster than those in the state responsible for the controls could react.

That brought me to an intriguing question: if those in the state could react faster to some relevant information with those controls compared to those in the market, would that make the market as an inferior tool to the controls?

Maybe that is a good thesis to explore. Hmm…

And I am done with my mental masturbation for today.

Categories
Economics

[1621] Of Rousseau is back at Michigan!

One of my favorite professors, Peter Rousseau of Vanderbilt is back at Michigan!

From my mailbox:

I have very exciting news!!! ECON 435 (Financial Economics) is back! The instructor will be Peter Rousseau , a visitor professor coming from Vanderbilt University. His website is: http://sitemason.vanderbilt.edu/econ/rousseau.

If you Wolverines want some good times while doing upper level economics, this is it.

For your information, he is the professor that I referred to in the entry about the Hunt Brothers.

Categories
Economics

[1614] Of free water and personal responsibility

The Tragedy of the Commons could be seen as a story of personal responsibility. Or rather, the lack of it. When consumption of finite resources is not associated with its relevant cost, individuals will overuse it with gross disregard to scarcity. In the end, individuals will exhaust the resources and leave none behind. The Selangor state government will have to brace itself to face this scenario sooner or later.

Selangor under the new Khalid administration recently announced its intention to provide the residents of the state with 20m3 of free water supply. The intention is noble but the sustainability of the policy is in doubt. While Selangor does indeed experience water abundance, drought is not uncommon. Last year, water levels at various dams throughout Peninsular Malaysia, including Selangor, were something we all should be worried about. In fact, the previous administration has projected that the Klang Valley will experience severe water shortage beyond 2010 and to overcome the projected problem, the federal government has rolled out a plan to transfer raw water from rivers in Pahang to Selangor.[1]

In Malaysia where drought is closely linked to high temperature, water reservoirs face a combination of factors that contribute to water shortage. In the upstream, absence of rain prevents reservoirs from replenishing its supply while high temperature encourages evaporation. In the downstream, in fighting the heat, consumers would demand large volume of water to cool down. With higher rate of output compared to input rate, it is not hard to imagine what the ultimate consequence will be. Any inefficiency that exists within the local water distribution system only makes matter worse.

There is not much we can do to fight drought from appearing from time to time at the moment. I do not believe that we have the knowledge to consciously manipulate the climate effectively. What we can do however is to encourage conservation by instilling responsible usage of water. Responsible water usage does not come through slogans and songs unfortunately. It requires a system of carrot and stick that promotes conservation and the market does just that. By enforcing free water policy, the state government not only interfering with market mechanism, the state also goes against everything that is associated with conservation.

By providing free water, the state breaks the link between action and responsibility. A person is free to utilize water for whatever reason without considering its effect on the society. What makes the detachment between action and responsibility possible is the elimination of prices as signals.

Prices signal scarcity. Flexible pricing mechanism will fluctuate according to demand and supply. When demand increases relative to constant supply, prices will go up to signal scarcity; when demand goes down relative to constant supply, prices go down to signal abundance. Higher prices will demand greater appreciation of the resources from consumers; it encourages consumers to be more thoughtful when consuming resources.

Without prices as signals, many consumers will be unable to appreciate the very real idea of scarcity. Even in dire times when water should be priced as high as gold but offered free instead, do not be surprised to find somebody washing their car or watering their lawn. News of impending shortage will not change his behavior because he does not feel the pain. He does not or unable to read the signal of scarcity clearly because he has been insulated from the real world.

Under free water policy, the state effectively transfers the responsibility of conservation from individuals to the state. Individuals will not practice responsible usage of water because of the reason mentioned earlier. When the ultimate signal comes — water shortage — it may be already too late to begin to conserve. With the state taking the responsibility of conservation away from individuals, the state effectively creates a commons as described in the Tragedy.[2] Thus, the course is set.

Without a good pricing mechanism, the only way to overcome the Tragedy of the Commons from reaching its sad conclusion is to ration water at one stage or the other. Suffice to say, I do not think highly of any policy that leads to rationing when flexible pricing mechanism offers better solution.

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

[1] — KUALA LUMPUR, Nov 21 (Bernama) — The project involving supply of raw water from Pahang to Selangor is expected to be completed on schedule by the middle of 2013, the Dewan Rakyat was told Wednesday.

[…]

Shaziman said it was anticipated that the project would be able to resolve the problem of raw water supply which Selangor would begin to face over the next five years. [Pahang-Selangor Raw Water Project Ready By 2013. Bernama. November 21 2007]

[2] — For further but brief explanation of the Tragedy of the Commons, see Wikipedia.

Categories
Economics

[1603] Of liberal Malaysia, welfare-based Selangor

The liberal Malaysia:

PUTRAJAYA: Consumers can expect major changes in the demand and supply mechanism, including doing away with controlling the prices of essential goods, said Domestic Trade and Consumer Affairs Minister Datuk Shahrir Samad. [Price controls may go. The Star. March 25 2008]

The welfare state Selangor:

In his first Press conference as Selangor Mentri Besar today, Tan Sri Khalid Ibrahim made two key announcements: the first 20 cubic metres of water is free to all Selangor households from April, and the eve of polling day water treatment plant deal between Puncak Niaga Holdings Bhd and Selangor Government is lopsided to the concessionaire’s advantage. [Khalid announces free household water and lopsided water deal. New Straits Times. March 17]

It is tough being a libertarian in Malaysia. On one hand PKR is liberal in its social outlook and BN sits on the conservative seat. On the other hand, PKR is running on left-wing-based economic policies while BN adopts the more liberal (read: better) ones, the NEP notwithstanding.

Libertarians living in the US also face the same problem: PKR is analogous to the Democratic Party while BN is similar to the Republican Party. One pseudo-idiom may help: the American eagle needs both its left wing and its right wing to soar.

Bah! What we need is a libertarian party to party — Lionel Richie, anyone? — all night long with cool gun-wielding chicks! Enough of dilemmas and lame llamas. We do not need them.

Categories
Economics Humor

[1597] Of do not move your money out of Bear!

Too good for me not to post it.

[youtube]niVjE5m4v2o[/youtube]

Via Creative Destruction, via Brad De Long.

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

p/s — so, okay. Hold your breath now: Via Creative Destruction, via Brad De Long, via Megan McArdle, via CrossingWallStreet.com. Happy now, dear John?