Categories
Economics

[1629] Of is biofuel the cause of the food crisis?

Roger Cohen at the NYT insists that biofuel is not the cause of food crisis, or at least not a major one if one wants to be accurate about magnitude, since it is still a small industry. Instead, he is convinced that what is causing it is protectionism.

Much larger trends are at work. They dwarf the still tiny biofuel industry (roughly a $40 billion annual business, or the equivalent of Exxon Mobil’s $40.6 billion profits in 2007). I refer to the rise of more than one-third of humanity in China and India, the disintegrating dollar and soaring oil prices.

[…]

What sense does it make to have a surplus of environmentally friendly Brazilian sugar-based ethanol with a yield eight times higher than U.S. corn ethanol and zero impact on food prices being kept from an American market by a tariff of 54 cents on a gallon while Iowan corn ethanol gets a subsidy?

[…]

The real scam lies in developed world protectionism and skewed subsidies, not the biofuel idea. [Bring on the Right Biofuels. Roger Cohen. NYT. April 25 2008]

Honestly, it is hard for me to say without looking at the data but I am leaning to his conclusion. Maybe, this warrants a short essay by itself.

Anyway, another go at the Doha Round, anybody?

Categories
Economics

[1628] Of hail Shahrir Samad!

KUALA LUMPUR: The restructured fuel subsidy scheme will see the removal of subsidy on diesel first.

Domestic Trade and Consumer Affairs Minister Datuk Shahrir Samad said diesel would soon be sold at the market rate at the pumps when a mechanism to deliver subsidies directly to those entitled has been decided upon. [Subsidy on diesel to go first, says Shahrir. The Star. April 25 2008]

It might be too early to celebrate but Mr. Shahrir is fast becoming my favorite minister.

Categories
Economics

[1627] Of Malaysian Keynesians kicked out of the window?

From the look of it, many of the planned huge government expenditures are not going to happen any time soon. Where are these Keynesians now, I wonder?

For the uninitiated, one hallmark of Keynesian economic policy is the encouragement of government expenditure, especially during times of low economic activities. The rationale is that these spendings would rejuvenate a faltering economy back on its feet through the famed multiplier effect.[1]

At this moment of uncertainty in the Malaysian economy, Keynesians everywhere would more or less give one prescription: more government spending. After the announcement of the Ninth Malaysia Plan, I had expected that the policy would be impressed upon even harder on the Malaysian leadership by Keynesians. Yet, we might be seeing a roll back on government spending.[2][3]

Keynesians, where art thou to stop these rollbacks?

Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved

[1] — See spending multiplier at Wikipedia.

[2] — KUALA LUMPUR: The nine-month delay in the Penang second bridge project is due to problems in land acquisition, design and rising cost, said Datuk Seri Abdullah Ahmad Badawi. [Second bridge delay due to costs and design issues. The Star. April 23 2008]

[3] — KUALA LUMPUR, April 22 (Reuters) – Malaysia has shelved plans for a bullet train linking its capital to neighbouring Singapore because of the cost, a top planning official said on Tuesday. [Malaysia drops Singapore bullet train project. Reuters. April 22 2008]

Categories
Economics

[1623] Of price and supply control in Malaysia

This is just for my own future use.

Following is the list of 11 price-controlled items:

  1. Petrol
  2. Diesel
  3. Liquefied petroleum gas
  4. Steel
  5. Cement
  6. Flour
  7. Sugar
  8. Condensed milk
  9. Bread
  10. Chicken
  11. Cooking oil

Following is the list of 20 supply-controlled items,
whereby supplies are regulated ensure demand is always met.

  1. Sugar
  2. Milk (including condensed, powdered milk, cream)
  3. Salt
  4. Cement and clinker
  5. Flour
  6. Cooking oil
  7. Fertiliser
  8. Insecticide
  9. Formic acid
  10. Mild steel, round bar
  11. Kerosene
  12. Preserved fish
  13. Rice (in Sabah state only)
  14. Paddy (in Sabah state only)
  15. Petrol
  16. Diesel
  17. Liquefied petroluem gas
  18. Bread
  19. Fuel
  20. Chicken [Malaysia’s web of price and supply controls. Reuters. March 26 2008]

What are the implications of the two control methods?

Price control will cause shortage or surplus when the list prices are disconnected from that of the market. Shortage occurs when prices are set lower than it should be. Producers will not have the incentive to produce as much as the level they would produce under free market condition while consumers will demand more than what they would normally do under free market. When surplus occurs, prices are simply set too high compared to what free market would call for; producers will produce too much and consumers will demand too little.

Supply control affects only the supply curve but it distorts the market nonetheless. This method forces prices that consumers pay to go higher than what equilibrium would otherwise produce when supply is set less than free market quantity. This is a producer-friendly policy as producers are able to charge consumers with higher prices than what free market would dictate. In other words, shortage is beneficial to producers. The exact opposite of the mechanics is true when supply is set higher than equilibrium.

The two methods reach roughly the same conclusion but the dimensions which each method tackles must be noted.

The two methods have one common characteristic: it amplifies an effect called price stickiness. There is always a lag in updating the set prices or quantity to match the prevailing situation of the market. In that way, these controls are inferior to free market mechanism as information disperses among participants of the market faster than those in the state responsible for the controls could react.

That brought me to an intriguing question: if those in the state could react faster to some relevant information with those controls compared to those in the market, would that make the market as an inferior tool to the controls?

Maybe that is a good thesis to explore. Hmm…

And I am done with my mental masturbation for today.

Categories
Economics

[1621] Of Rousseau is back at Michigan!

One of my favorite professors, Peter Rousseau of Vanderbilt is back at Michigan!

From my mailbox:

I have very exciting news!!! ECON 435 (Financial Economics) is back! The instructor will be Peter Rousseau , a visitor professor coming from Vanderbilt University. His website is: http://sitemason.vanderbilt.edu/econ/rousseau.

If you Wolverines want some good times while doing upper level economics, this is it.

For your information, he is the professor that I referred to in the entry about the Hunt Brothers.