{"id":1771,"date":"2008-09-04T23:59:54","date_gmt":"2008-09-04T15:59:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/maddruid.com\/?p=1771"},"modified":"2009-02-28T23:33:08","modified_gmt":"2009-02-28T15:33:08","slug":"1764-of-the-danger-of-the-september-16-promise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/maddruid.com\/?p=1771","title":{"rendered":"[1764] Of the danger of the September 16 promise"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>With (x,y), x is the payoff to the incumbent while y is the payoff to the challenger. Numbers are cardinal.<\/p>\n<p>The challenger plays the first round. The incumbent plays the last round.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: 1px solid black;\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/maddruid.com\/wp\/images\/20080905DefectionMalaysiaPayoff.png?resize=500%2C435&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"By Hafiz Noor Shams. Public domain\" width=\"500\" height=\"435\" \/><\/p>\n<p>By martial law, I mean to indicate incumbent&#8217;s refusal to let go of power, eventually involving some kind of conflict greater than mere tongue war and successfully retaining power through the conflict.<\/p>\n<p>By new government, there is a peaceful transition of power.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.maddruid.com\/Graphics\/reusable\/the__earthinc.png?w=580\" alt=\"Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved\" \/> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.maddruid.com\/Graphics\/reusable\/the__earthinc.png?w=580\" alt=\"Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved\" \/> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.maddruid.com\/Graphics\/reusable\/the__earthinc.png?w=580\" alt=\"Mohd Hafiz Noor Shams. Some rights reserved\" \/><\/p>\n<p>p\/s \u2014 this model does not consider any discount from the conflict on the society. Such accommodation would likely change the payoff of the second round, making the model more complex.<\/p>\n<p>This model stands on only one assumption: holding power is better than not holding power.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With (x,y), x is the payoff to the incumbent while y is the payoff to the challenger. Numbers are cardinal. The challenger plays the first round. The incumbent plays the last round. By martial law, I mean to indicate incumbent&#8217;s refusal to let go of power, eventually involving some kind of conflict greater than mere [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,8],"tags":[64],"class_list":["post-1771","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","category-politics-government","tag-political-defection"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/maddruid.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1771","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/maddruid.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/maddruid.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/maddruid.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/maddruid.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1771"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/maddruid.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1771\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2510,"href":"https:\/\/maddruid.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1771\/revisions\/2510"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/maddruid.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1771"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/maddruid.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1771"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/maddruid.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1771"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}