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Economics Environment Politics & government Pop culture Sci-fi

[524] Of The Economist and oil

Exactly a year ago, Paul Krugman wrote an article entitled The Oil Cunch. He started off with:

Before the start of the Iraq war his media empire did so much to promote, Rupert Murdoch explained the payoff: “The greatest thing to come out of this for the world economy, if you could put it that way, would be $20 a barrel for oil.” Crude oil prices in New York rose to almost $40 a barrel yesterday, a 13-year high.

Rose almost to $40 per barrel; about a year later, it is hovering more or less above the $50 per barrel benchmark. There was a time when lots of people thought $50 per barrel has too much fantasy in it. Now, nobody dare to question the $60 level too much.

The Economist latest edition has oil has its main focus. From one of its articles, it is clear than the team at The Economist doesn’t approve the plan to drill ANWR. The magazine bills such action as “This is mad”, or was it “This is madness”.

I agree so much that this is madness. Drilling the nature reserve in Alaska won’t alleviate the current crisis. The drilling return on investment won’t come immediately and by the time the extraction hit full speed, given the increasing global demand and little sign of slowing demand in the near future, oil from ANWR won’t be able to make a noticeable impact. It won’t make a lasting impact at all.

Believing the act of opening ANWR would relax the oil price is similar to believing one is Superman; able to stop a speeding bullet train by standing in the middle of the track, head to head.

The only solution is renewable energy. Or nuclear. We need to act now. Oil won’t last forever; renewable will.

p/s – I’ve come to a conclusion that The Economist is environmentally-friendly.

pp/s – can you feel it?

Because I do.

Categories
Environment Liberty Politics & government Pop culture Sci-fi

[479] Of Iraqi National Assembly election

Very soon, in less than 24 hours, the Iraqis will be able to decide the future of their country. Finally for the first time in an episode of a tediously long drama, they will be able to participate in a countrywide democratic process.

Earlier, I had actually thought that this election would elect the head of the state and other high state functions, similar to the November US presidential election. I was wrong.

Instead, the individuals elected into the Iraqi National Assembly will discuss and draft a new permanent constitution for Iraq. Later, the constitution will be voted by the Iraqis in a referendum. Moreover, the National Assembly will act as a transitional government, replacing the interim government. Once a version of the constitution is voted and agreed upon, the transitional government will be dissolved, making way for a permanent government. According to Wikipedia, the referendum must be held by October this year.

Wonderful isn’t it? It sounds so soon whereas the occupation seems to occupy reality ages ago.

In retrospect, I believed the war was unjustified. I still believe the war is unjustified. The Bush administration had blatantly lied in the face of public scrutiny and then went ahead to drive its war vehicle despite the red light could clearly be seen from even the back seat. In spite of that, one can’t push away the notion that Iraq, in some dimensions — for instance, pertaining to democracy and the environment — is improving.

Furthermore, what’s done is done and there is no need to lament too much about the past. The only acceptable conduct now is to make it the best out of the worst. This progress in Iraq is something that we all should be smiling for. Never mind which side you and I, they and us stand on the issue.

Meanwhile, the resistance movement has pledged to disrupt the upcoming election. It is unfortunate but comprehensible. It is imperative nevertheless for Iraqi to vote and not cave in to the threat. Submission to fear will lead to a slower resolution. The Coalition troops (really, the US and the UK. Alright, alright. And Tonga and Solomon Islands and…) have the obligation to remove the fear and they have imposed a curfew in order to prevent attack from occurring, or perhaps, more realistically, limits aggression.

Saddest part of this desert opera is not the threat of disruption by the resisting forces. Rather, minus the unlawful invasion itself, it is the decision of major Sunni groups to boycott the election. It is but a fool who would disfranchise himself from his own future. This will be the Iraqi Sunni greatest undoing.

We could only hope for the groups to change heart though I’m skeptical that would happen. I am, however, optimistic for Sunday. Indeed, we all should hope this event will go through without too much unnecessary cost.

p/s – ehem.

More on starwars.com. (via)
pp/s – the 2005 Environmental Sustainability Index is finally out. Read entry [495] and [496] for context. Malaysia got the 38th rung, moving 30 places from its initial position in the 2002 index. Malaysia also is the most environmental sustainable in ASEAN though issues like Bakun, Broga and Tioman tend to make me skeptical of the report by a tiny bit.According to the report, there are five variables and one of them is Social and Institutional Capability. This variable fit exactly of what I talked about in the two entries of mine. They however went further by including other variables and the inclusion of four other variables will certainly explain the variability (the R-square for those of you who are familiar with econometrics) much better.

Categories
Pop culture

[453] Of Georg Friedrich Handel

A tribute to the Baroque composer Georg Friedrich Handel and his Water Music suite.

Alrighty. Back to trying not to mess up this semester.

p/s – arson. The same thing happened near Ann Arbor not so long ago. I bet it’s ELF.

pp/s – omg. Her Reverie is a good Malaysian band. I love their song called Beautiful.

Categories
Environment Politics & government Pop culture Sci-fi

[357] Of The Day After Tomorrow

I saw The Day After Tomorrow the day before yesterday with two friends. I was shocked to find out that the ticket price has considerably been raised. I guess inflation is everywhere now.

Enough economics.

The movie was entertaining though the effects of global warming were exaggerated. Then again, the director himself has said that this movie is for entertainment, not for some meteorology class. But the best thing is, I now understand how the movie serves as a really good conduit for the green cause. Before I watched the movie, I thought the movie is just some other movie that runs parallel with the green’s concerns. I was wrong as it was more than that.

The reason why The Day After Tomorrow is useful in creating awareness among the masses is how Professor Jack Hall – played by Dennis Quaid – describes that global warming could trigger a colder climate in a fictional UNFCCC (that, err, for United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, the one responsible for meetings of the Parties related to the Kyoto Protocol in the real world) in a snowing New Delhi. This is an irony that has been well-manipulated by the grays to discredit the greens on matters of global warming. In a larger sense, the movie tries to link global warming with a wider problem of accelerated climate change, one of the few things that the grays are trying to disprove.

All other parts of the movie are pure exaggeration. Nevertheless, the movie does provide as glimpse of what humanity will have to endure even when the effects of global warming occur in a very gradual manner. Currently, the frequency and the amplitude of natural disasters related to the climate have been going up but none are as devastating as in the movie of course. Jeremy Legett’s The Carbon War has also implied that we are seeing an increasing thread of climate related natural disasters’ severity.

Another noteworthy scene in the movie, of the most ironic thing considering the current era of Pax-Americana, is the American refugee camps. However, this picture might not be far away and actors will not be the Americans, but the citizens of the Pacific islanders and others small island-nations all around the world. These small pacific island-nations to my knowledge are currently lobbying the Australian government to accept any refugee related to the rising of the sea level. The global warming refugee scene is real as far as these poor islanders are concerned. The Australian government has been only unhelpful in recent negotiations.

All in all, the movie is informative and entertaining if you know to how to filter the information. There are some good jokes too. The special effect is gorgeous. Good for vanity, one of the lead actors, Jake Gyllenhaal, playing as Sam Hall, Jack Hall’s son, wear a Michigan shirt in a scene. This is probably a testimony of Ann Arbor’s political greenness.

Unfortunately, the worst part of the movie is where the word, “To Manchester United” is heard. Thank God by the end of the movie, Old Trafford would probably be under more than 15 meters of snow.

You should go watch the movie. You won’t be disappointed. I dare say it is better than the Matrix’s two pathetic sequels.

And after watching the movie, you should realize, first and foremost, the moral is we need to act now rather than later.

Categories
Photography Pop culture Society

[185] Of reality TV

I don’t get it. What’s with reality TV show? What actually with the reality idiot box show that makes people watch it?

First it was Survivor back in the late 90s. I thought it was a good show but as time passes me, I became more and more similar to a libertarian and later felt that the idea of watching people’s life is disturbing. My idea of privacy finally matured after reading 1984 by George Orwell. Thus, I would shout without shame nor fear that this so-called reality show is for people of whom do not want nor deserve freedom of privacy.

Seeing people in their private life, or whatever these days that happens in the supposedly reality TV is certainly disgusting. It’s like a stalker stalking some stranger. Of course, in the TV program, the real people, fake just like the mannequin used in some cheap horror movie, know that they are or will be on national TV. I have nothing against these fake people, the ones that are being stalked. But the stalkers’ the TV audiences! Argh! I have too many things to say that I don’t even know where to start. Let me just list down reasons why I look down upon these reality idiot box show.

First, are they too stupid to ACTUALLY believe the lies prepared and baked by the entertainment media? No wonder some people actually believe whatever Fox TV is reporting! Yes, yes! Eat everything the media feed us. To resist is to piss in the wind – anyone who does ends up smelling they say! HAH! Resist I say. RESIST IDIOTS! Resist for your own sake.

Secondly, yes some of these reality TV fans might come up by saying “we all know that the thing is a gimmick. It’s just a TV program.” That still doesn’t change the fact that these fans are enjoying the notion of reality TV. What if I observe, scrutinize all the idiot box lovers over the net? How about letting me install a CCTV inside your house, your room or better yet, your bathroom for my pleasure? I could just say that I am enjoying a reality TV show. Certainly there is nothing wrong with it, isn’t?

There are a number of other reasons but I would say the two that I’ve mentioned are the biggest reasons. Due to these reasons, my blood will almost always boils whenever a person whom is having a conversation with me and ask, “who do you think will win? Roger or Carol?” I will most certainly ask “who are they?” (most likely “wtf r they?”) and a reply flies from the person throat “the Bachelor” or “Survivor” or some sort of other latest show. Then, the golden moment, “you should watch it, everybody is watching it. It’s the thing right now.”

ARGH!

It’s okay to watch the television in order to have some fun now and then but when you are addicted, when you are being conditioned to sit in front of the idiot box 24/7 or 10/7 or whatever the numbers will be, you are becoming an idiot yourself. An idiot who thinks that you are free to do whatever you wish. In reality, you are doing whatever the moguls wish.

The next time somebody is talking about reality idiot’s box show, I assert you to say, “I do not wish to become an idiot without a fight.”

Listen all reality idiot box show fans, you are not free. Your mind is trapped and is controlled by the entertainment moguls. They are making money at your expense. Don’t cave in. Don’t surrender and be a drone. Don’t surrender to the mogul and become an ass among the masses. The masses are asses.

Now, I sound like a troubled man. Sigh…

p/s – Yet another for the Mirror Project.