Archive for the 'WDYT' Category

The Malaysian GDP figures for the 2015 second quarter will be out next week on Thursday. I think it will be bad because of how the GST has hit consumption. This will be the focus next week as people write out their commentary. I am a believer of the frontloading theory but admittedly there are some problems with it as […]

Folks, the PAC wants to question Jho Low but the Ministry of Finance cannot find him. Let us help our beloved government find him!

It is that part of the week again when government-sanctioned mosques deliver government-prepared sermons to all Muslims beforeFriday prayer. Here, I give you a chance to guess what will the topic be today. Hurry. The sermon will be due in an hour. You can choose up to two options.

I have not been this optimistic in a long time. I was right for being bearish for 1Q2013 and 2Q2013. I have also mentioned that 2Q growth would have been much worse if it was not for government spending. Even for the 4Q2012 when actual growth beat all estimates, I was not too impressed. Only the politicians were […]

It is that time again. Malaysia’s Department of Statistics will release the second quarter GDP figures on August 21. Growth in the first quarter was 4.1% YoY no thanks to eroded trade surplus. Domestic demand however held up well and prevented the growth figure from being worse. The situation on the trade surplus front has […]

So, trade surplus in the first quarter of 2013 very much contracted. Net exports in current prices were down by 44%. Although imports fared considerably better than exports in the quarter (hence the big drop in trade surplus), imports of consumption goods were weak, which may suggest that consumption itself slowed. Another bad news is […]

[2662] Guess the GDP growth rate!

Here is some background. Malaysian exports did badly in the fourth quarter. Europe and the US suffered from contraction at the same time. Nevertheless, domestic demand appeared strong. Private consumption growth was likely pretty solid. In the first, second and third quarter, the real GDP grew by 5.1%, 5.6% and 5.2% from a year ago […]

I was reading the Bloomberg Brief just now and I saw this graph. If your favorite answer is unavailable as an option above, do share in the comment section.

Background: Rivals CIMB and Maybank are racing against each other to merge (takeover?) with RHB. It is a high-stake game. The winner will have a significantly increased regional profile. At the same time, a current shareholder of RHB, Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank (ADCB) is selling its stake to its sister’s company Aabar Investments. Both the ADCB and […]

This is a relevant question, given that some expect the election will be held in the next few months. I of course do not pretend that these polls are scientific. It is all for good fun.

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